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UConn Women's Basketball Forum
Lou Lopez-Senechal, Undertaker or Buried
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[QUOTE="oldhusky, post: 4370251, member: 9844"] Adding on to your theme about too much concern over graduating seniors. We lost three seniors who were very good players, but by Uconn standards they were pretty middle of the pack. They are all possible but far from a lock at a long WNBA career. We frequently send players to the league drafted much higher. You mentioned your greater confidence in freshmen Azzi on the line instead of Christyn. It is more than just that trait, if you look at their PER stats Azzi and Caroline were better than both Christyn and Evina last year. It wasn't by a big margin but by that standard the freshmen replacements were better than the graduating seniors already. Dorka was very good but below Liv's numbers, but another year in the program and being used more exclusively at her natural position should make that closer to a wash. The main thing to remember though, is in most years the incoming freshmen don't have to be as good in their first year as the graduating seniors for the team to be as good. The reason of course is you have sophomores, juniors, and seniors returning all of which should be a little better with another year of experience and their offseason work. The reason I say in most years, is because last year we were a stark exception to that rule. Looking at PER stats again and comparing players to their prior year, we had one of our returnees improve (NIka) and in her case it was not by much. Liv, Aaliyah, Dorka, Evina, Christyn and Paige were worse. It would not be unusual for a player or two from that many falling off a little, but that was shocking, and in Aaliyah's case she was way down from the prior year. Before the injury Paige was better too but her 11 games after coming back pulled her numbers for the season below her freshmen year. I'm sure some of that was because we had players gassed from playing too many minutes, or out of position due to injuries, and we didn't have time to get comfortable with a set lineup. This year I think it is more likely we have a more normal transition and improvement from returning players. Azzi and Caroline make a typical frosh to sophomore jump, Aaliyah a major one just to get back to freshmen form, hopefully better than that, Dorka gets more opportunities at her natural C position etc. [/QUOTE]
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