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Message: [QUOTE="CTBasketball, post: 4418759, member: 2809"] Usually the oddsmakers will underappreciate or overvalue a team, and stick to their guns for a few weeks maybe even months. Last year Houston was wildly under appreciated and routinely covered. UConn (who I never bet) and Louisville both NEVER covered, probably due to dumb decisions in crunch time or just coaching head scratchers. I found that Louisville sucked early and faded them often. Go with a garbage coach on the hot seat, a bleh team, and fade them from the start. I also found that early in the year better coaches tend to outperform the spreads. [/QUOTE]