KenPom Pre-season conference rankings

[shizzle787]

To be clear: I calculated these based off of the adjusted efficiency margin. It was a simple analysis: I added up the AEM of each team in a league and divided by the total number of teams. I'm too cheap to buy KenPom so I don't know if he does this but I did it anyway. It is not perfect: I likely made a computational error along the way, and there are other variables that may invalidate this. However, I think it is pretty accurate and there a few very interesting results (especially in mid-major land).

Without further ado, here are the rankings (league avg. AEM in parenthesis)

Tier 1
1. Big 12 (19.19)
2. SEC (17.83)
3. Big 10 (15.57)
4. ACC (14.53)
5. Big East (13.80)
6. Pac-12 (12.12)

Tier 2
7. AAC (8.63)
8. WCC (7.07)
9. MW (6.09)
10. A-10 (5.09)

Tier 3
11. C-USA (2.55)
12. MVC (.60)
13. WAC (-.94)
14. Southern (-1.1)

Tier 4
15. Big West (-3.12)
16. Sun Belt (-3.24)
17. Ivy (-3.81)
18. MAC (-4.13)

Tier 5

19. MAAC (-5.05)
20. A-Sun (-5.35)
21. Big South (-5.51)
22. CAA (-5.53)
23. Summit (-6.00)

Tier 6

24. Patriot (-7.44)
25. Big Sky (-7.55)
26. America East (-7.76)
27. Horizon (-8.84)

Tier 7

28. MEAC (-11.63)
29. OVC (-11.85)

Tier 8

30. NEC (-14.31)
31. Southland (-14.33)
32. SWAC (-15.01)
33. Indies (-19.23)

To me the biggest surprises:
SEC in 2nd (higher than expected)
C-USA in 11th (higher than expected)
WAC in 13th (higher than expected)
Big West in 15th (higher than expected)
CAA in 22nd (lower than expected)

 

[Stinger92860]

So a move to the B12 would help Basketball, Football, and Baseball.

 

[Balker]

He does do this, the Big East finished 4th last year. Has been 3-6 every year since the conference split up with one exception being a 2nd place finish in 2015.

 

[borninansonia]

So a move to the B12 would help Basketball, Football, and Baseball.

And few fans would be able to see away conference games, and the carbon footprint of the teams would probably double.

 

[auror]

He does do this, the Big East finished 4th last year. Has been 3-6 every year since the conference split up with one exception being a 2nd place finish in 2015.

Interesting that it is pretty close to the straight average. He runs a simulation to estimate team that would go .500 in the league. Ends up being +/- 0.3 from the average.

The deviation sign week tell you if league is top heavy or deep. Big 12 is both Big East is deep.

 

[Punkbo]

And few fans would be able to see away conference games, and the carbon footprint of the teams would probably double.

Wow. Carbon footprint. I’m impressed. The only mention of Green I’ve ever seen on the Boneyard is the color of beer bottles.