shizzle787
King Shizzle DCCLXXXVII of the Cesspool
- Joined
- Oct 19, 2015
- Messages
- 12,151
- Reaction Score
- 19,092
To be clear: I calculated these based off of the adjusted efficiency margin. It was a simple analysis: I added up the AEM of each team in a league and divided by the total number of teams. I'm too cheap to buy KenPom so I don't know if he does this but I did it anyway. It is not perfect: I likely made a computational error along the way, and there are other variables that may invalidate this. However, I think it is pretty accurate and there a few very interesting results (especially in mid-major land).
Without further ado, here are the rankings (league avg. AEM in parenthesis)
Tier 1
1. Big 12 (19.19)
2. SEC (17.83)
3. Big 10 (15.57)
4. ACC (14.53)
5. Big East (13.80)
6. Pac-12 (12.12)
Tier 2
7. AAC (8.63)
8. WCC (7.07)
9. MW (6.09)
10. A-10 (5.09)
Tier 3
11. C-USA (2.55)
12. MVC (.60)
13. WAC (-.94)
14. Southern (-1.1)
Tier 4
15. Big West (-3.12)
16. Sun Belt (-3.24)
17. Ivy (-3.81)
18. MAC (-4.13)
Tier 5
19. MAAC (-5.05)
20. A-Sun (-5.35)
21. Big South (-5.51)
22. CAA (-5.53)
23. Summit (-6.00)
Tier 6
24. Patriot (-7.44)
25. Big Sky (-7.55)
26. America East (-7.76)
27. Horizon (-8.84)
Tier 7
28. MEAC (-11.63)
29. OVC (-11.85)
Tier 8
30. NEC (-14.31)
31. Southland (-14.33)
32. SWAC (-15.01)
33. Indies (-19.23)
To me the biggest surprises:
SEC in 2nd (higher than expected)
C-USA in 11th (higher than expected)
WAC in 13th (higher than expected)
Big West in 15th (higher than expected)
CAA in 22nd (lower than expected)
Without further ado, here are the rankings (league avg. AEM in parenthesis)
Tier 1
1. Big 12 (19.19)
2. SEC (17.83)
3. Big 10 (15.57)
4. ACC (14.53)
5. Big East (13.80)
6. Pac-12 (12.12)
Tier 2
7. AAC (8.63)
8. WCC (7.07)
9. MW (6.09)
10. A-10 (5.09)
Tier 3
11. C-USA (2.55)
12. MVC (.60)
13. WAC (-.94)
14. Southern (-1.1)
Tier 4
15. Big West (-3.12)
16. Sun Belt (-3.24)
17. Ivy (-3.81)
18. MAC (-4.13)
Tier 5
19. MAAC (-5.05)
20. A-Sun (-5.35)
21. Big South (-5.51)
22. CAA (-5.53)
23. Summit (-6.00)
Tier 6
24. Patriot (-7.44)
25. Big Sky (-7.55)
26. America East (-7.76)
27. Horizon (-8.84)
Tier 7
28. MEAC (-11.63)
29. OVC (-11.85)
Tier 8
30. NEC (-14.31)
31. Southland (-14.33)
32. SWAC (-15.01)
33. Indies (-19.23)
To me the biggest surprises:
SEC in 2nd (higher than expected)
C-USA in 11th (higher than expected)
WAC in 13th (higher than expected)
Big West in 15th (higher than expected)
CAA in 22nd (lower than expected)