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Message: [QUOTE="JustbrewitMan, post: 4511906, member: 7806"] I agree with this. To a degree. A conference with 1-2 powerhouses and 8-9 mediocre teams could actually have just as many, if not more "close game opportunities". Would love to be able to dive into this "close game outcome" metric while sorting for things like: [LIST] [*]Games where KenPom rankings were +/- 20 between the two teams [*]Games where the betting line was < "x" points or > "y" points, etc. [*]Games where the margin was <5 pts with "x" minutes left, etc. [/LIST] Because then you could account for the end-game a bit better and get at what we're all trying to quantify ("Is Hurley a good/bad endgame coach?" "Are his teams clutch or chokers?") There's lots of stats massaging you can do to support your narrative. For example, I could make a perfectly valid argument that "games decided by <=7 pts" are not really much different than "games decided by <=5 pts" There are garbage pts scored that make nailbiter games into 6-7 pt MOVs all the darn time. I also could say that "it's completely unfair to look at ANY coach's data from year 1 of a major rebuild", and "the COVID19 year was messed up. There was no homecrowd advatange, teams' rosters were hit-or-miss based on who was in COVID protocols, etc." With those parameters in mind, Hurley's/Hurley's teams' records in "close games" has been 11-10 (52.3%). Very respectable & really "normal". [/QUOTE]