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Message: [QUOTE="Echo Hawk, post: 4511525, member: 1301"] Interesting topic. Ken Pom is a little over the top with this statistic because you are dealing with human behaviors. Teams get hot then go cold for no apparent reason. Players have injuries that you never know about. They get sick and play. Players choke. Players get hot. And very human coaches make really bad decisions. Bench players come off the bench and have the game of their life. All of these things are opaque, among others, and are not part of any data set that Ken Pom or anyone else can see. What is interesting to me, using this team as an example, is how a team that looks unbeatable can lose 5 of 6 in a row when the bookies say they should win every one easily. You can't point to any non injury reason. It just happens. You can say that another coach under the same exact conditions would have stopped the bleeding and had a different outcome. Ask anyone in Buffalo this week if they should have won that game. [/QUOTE]