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Message: [QUOTE="auror, post: 3222850, member: 1329"] 2018 Villanova had one of the best offensives ever, but just a good defense. 99 Duke's offense was a half notch down but their defense was like 3 notches better. The best team of all time pretty much has to be great at both. Adjusted for schedules and pace, '99 Duke outscored its opponents by 0.09 per possession more than '18 Villanova. It doesn't sound like a lot, but it was basically the difference between us and Houston last year when fully healthy in overall quality. Each game has about 70 possessions, so it works out to about a 6 point margin. Vegas would likely make Duke something like a 5.5 point favorite on a neutral court over Nova. [/QUOTE]