Interesting stats from the class of 2012

[UcMiami]

So I posted something on the Katie Lou thread and decided to do a bit more research into shooting percentages for the Uconn 2012 class and found it interesting enough to post separately - the initial post was about the fact that both Stewart and Tuck are not great three point shooters nor all that prolific - it is a good weapon for them, and occasionally they have buried daggers from three in very meaningful moments but neither the team nor they themselves depend on the their three point shooting. The threat may in fact be more important than the actual shots they take.
The Facts:

Stewart has made 106 through 3 years Fr - .333 (28 made), Soph .343 (48), Jr .313 (30)
Tuck has made 41 through 2+ years Fr .289 (13), Soph* .412 (7), Jr. .292 (21)

In those three years Uconn 3 point shooting as a team was .378 (325), .366 (295) and .406 (330) So only Tuck in her 8 game aborted sophomore season shot above team average on an extremely limited sample.

So I was curious about effective shooting percentages for Morgan and Breanna and how that would compare to Jefferson the third member of the class and a guard who has developed into a great three point shooter. the calculation is simple subtract the 3 point shooting out of the total shooting to come to a two point shooting percentage, and multiple 3 point makes by 1.5/three point attempts to get a effective 3 point shooting percentage. The numbers by year:
Freshman year:
Stewart - 2 pt% .558; 3% .500 (2Pt Shot Attempts 292; Three Shot Attempts 84; Ratio 3.5 to 1)
Tuck* - .503; .433 (2SA 151; TSA 45; R 3.4)
Jefferson* - .519; .398 (2SA 108; TSA 64; R 1.7)

Sophomore year:
Stewart - .545; .514 (2SA 446; TSA 140; R 3.2)
Tuck** - .531; .618 (2SA 32; TSA 17; R 1.9)
Jefferson - .639; .627 (2SA 194; TSA 79; R 2.5)

Junior Year:
Stewart - .594; .469 (2SA 394; TSA 96; R 4.1)
Tuck - .663; .438 (2SA 329; TSA 72; R 4.6)
Jefferson - .634; .743 (2SA 216; TSA 113; R 1.9)

* Tuck and Jefferson were secondary players as Freshman as their shot attempts reflect - they both started 2 games total.
** Tuck's sophomore season is statistically insignificant as she attempted only 49 total shots in her 8 games.

A few thoughts on the data -
1. Jefferson is the only one to have a year where her effective 3 point shooting was significantly higher than her two point shooting - not surprising as she is a guard.
2. The effect of Dolson's graduation I think is pretty clear in the ratio numbers for Tuck and Stewart - they were taking a significantly larger percentage of shots from two once the big post left. (It will be interesting to see if Butler has an effect this coming in year on shifting it back.)
3. The effective scoring for both Tuck and Stewart is significantly better taking two point shots, especially last year. For Jefferson it was about equal as a sophomore and then spiked toward the three as a Junior when she basically tied Sue for best ever yearly three point shooting percentage.
4. Stewart had a significant drop in her effective 3 point shooting this past year - hopefully she can get it back to 50% or better. (Her sophomore spike in 3 point shooting raw numbers might be attributed to KML and Tuck being injured for large portions of the year? - I think 100+/- is probably a better number with a ration close to 4-1 for both Tuck and Stewart)

Just an FYI - Uconn team numbers for last year - 2 point shooting .603, effective 3pt shooting .609 with a ratio of 2.1 two point attempts to each 3 point attempt.

 

[DavidinNaples]

UMiami....awesome stats and analysis. It got me wondering whether Stewie and/or Tuck shoot 3's better in big games. Like, for example, the Final Four. Here's what I found:

1. Stewie in three Final Fours (6 games) is 10-22 from three point range. That's 45.5% accuracy, well above her average.
2. Tuck is 4-11 from three pt range in her 4 games. (Injured in 2013.) That is 36.4%, better than last year.
3. Stewie and Tuck seem to alternate making 3 pt shots. When one is hot, the other is not. Stewie was 7-10 in 2012, Tuck was 0-4.
4. Last year, Stewie was 2-7 from 3 pt, Tuck stepped up and was 4-7 (57%) w/ two threes in both the semi and final games.
5. Together, Stewie and Tuck are 14-33 in Final Four games from three range. That is 42.4%. Hard to beat when they are 3rd or 4th option.

Stars shine best in big games...!!
Go Huskies..!!

 

[CocoHusky]

UC and David, very advanced stuff. Keep it coming.

 

[UcMiami]

View attachment 10924

UMiami....awesome stats and analysis. It got me wondering whether Stewie and/or Tuck shoot 3's better in big games. Like, for example, the Final Four. Here's what I found:

1. Stewie in three Final Fours (6 games) is 10-22 from three point range. That's 45.5% accuracy, well above her average.
2. Tuck is 4-11 from three pt range in her 4 games. (Injured in 2013.) That is 36.4%, better than last year.
3. Stewie and Tuck seem to alternate making 3 pt shots. When one is hot, the other is not. Stewie was 7-10 in 2012, Tuck was 0-4.
4. Last year, Stewie was 2-7 from 3 pt, Tuck stepped up and was 4-7 (57%) w/ two threes in both the semi and final games.
5. Together, Stewie and Tuck are 14-33 in Final Four games from three range. That is 42.4%. Hard to beat when they are 3rd or 4th option.

Stars shine best in big games...!!
Go Huskies..!!

Actually:
For the 2014 FF Bria's and Moriah's brick laying and the teams general brick laying lead me to believe there was NO #2 option let alone a third or fourth! 2014 Uconn shot 8-34 from three and KML was 3-10 which makes the rest of the team 5-24!!!! Bria had 4 threes but took 15 shots to get them for 27%. Stewart went 1-5 and Moriah had an 0-4
For 2015 - Tuck (4-7) and Moriah (5-12) should have been options 1 and 2 - the rest of the team went 7-26 with KML at 3-12 and Stewart at 2-7 for a team shooting 54% from the field.
For 2013 - Stewart at 7-8 and KML at 6-11 were the only good three point options - Mo - 0-1, Bria 2-7, Tuck 0-4

That 2013 run in the NCAAs from Stewart was pretty amazing! And Tuck had a great 2015 run.