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Message: [QUOTE="Paesano, post: 2452909, member: 5631"] I have not searched the archives for our rating at the same time last year but, compared to our rating at the end of last year, no, there is no improvement at this time. That year end rating was a number that represents the average performance for the entire season. The current rating represents the average performance for all games played this year. It could get better. It could get worse. Right now it is what it is. If you could comprehend the logic and math behind it, you would understand it, but you don't. That is why you hand wave a weak argument based on your biased interpretation of what you think you are seeing and then, ironically, call other people thick. A record, without context, is pretty damn weak. How good were the wins? How bad were the losses? What was the quality of the competition? Don't bother presenting your opinions. I would rather look at an unbiased analysis, improved over years, created by an MIT mathematician which uses a global optimization algorithm to best measure the average performance of each team. It isn't perfect. No algorithm is. But it is better than the rantings of a biased fan. Edit: I am chilling so I went to the wayback machine and you will be happy to know that, yes, our start this year is better than last year, going by the Sagarin ratings on the same date. THAT is solid data based on a solid, unbiased, analysis. It is not simply saying 6-2 is better than 2-4. That is just weak. Now, if the team improves at the same rate as last year's team, they should finish with a better rating. That would be nice. But here is the catch, all of this implies that the team was playing quite a bit better at the end of last year than they are at the beginning of this year. Maybe that is ok, given the turnover and such, but that is, again, up to opinion. [/QUOTE]

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