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Message: [QUOTE="bballnut90, post: 3124197, member: 2117"] 1. Oregon-95%, it'll be a massive massive upset if they don't make at least the Elite 8 next year with everyone sans Cazorla. Keep in mind they get another home regional next year, so they'll likely face a 4 seed in front of a home crowd. 2. Baylor-90%, again it'll be a total shocker if they lose prior to the Elite 8. They have so much talent and will have a strong home crowd atmosphere playing in Dallas. 3. UCONN-85%, the last time UCONN didn't make the Elite 8 was 2005, the first year post DT. UCONN doesn't have depth but are very top heavy, especially if ONO/CW make strides. They'll likely be worse than they were this year, but most teams look worse on paper headed into next year. 4. Stanford-70%, they have a solid roster returning and an excellent coach. I'd say it's a strong chance they make it back. 5. Louisville-30%, they have Evans coming back and some other reserves but losing Carter/Fuehring/Durr hurts big time. Uphill battle for Walz. 6. ND-10%, it'll take somewhat of a miracle IMO for Muffet to get back to the Final Four unless her players are much better than anyone thinks. The only highly recruited player on the team is Brunelle. None of their current bench players were top 25 recruits, nor have they looked good in games. I can't remember ND ever having such a young, unheralded and inexperienced roster. Muffet is a wizard though so we'll see what magic she cooks up. 7. Mississippi State-35%, McCowan is gone but Mississippi State appears to have a formidable lineup on paper next year. They return 3 of the best 3pt shooters in the SEC (AEH, Scott and Bibby all shot between 43-46% from 3) so I'd expect their offense to revolve around perimeter players. Inside Mississippi State is still going to be physical and formidable. They have two 6-5 posts in Promise Taylor and Jessika Carter who will hold down the center spot and do their best McCowan impression. Taylor is a very good shot blocker and has a 7-0 wingspan. Carter is a big body and should improve with more PT. Big question is PG play but Vic is one of the best at developing PGs to make good decisions. Plus they have Rickea Jackson coming. I think this is a likely Sweet 16 squad with a decent chance at an Elite 8. 8. Iowa-0%, no Gustafson=no chance. [/QUOTE]

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