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Message: [QUOTE="Tenspro2002, post: 4220203, member: 889"] Not going to identify who, but I said 2, though frankly I think it's more likely to be 1 than 3. There are basically two tiers: 1) Teams That Can Make Some Noise: Nova - 60% PC - 50% UConn - 40% Looking at probably 3 seeds for Nova and PC and a 4/5 seed for us. We would not have a pushover in round 1 and then maybe a coin flip in round 2. The others would be favored (Nova decently, PC slightly). 2) Teams That Are There: SHU - 20% Marquette - 10% Xavier - 5% Creighton - 5% This category will most likely be in the 7-10 seed range, meaning they'll have to beat a #1 or #2 to get to the second weekend. Very unlikely. Seton Hall maybe has the most upside here, but the others are finished. Add all those percentages up and the expected value is close to 2. [/QUOTE]