How far do we drop in the polls?

[BostonBay]

we're clearly in the 5 to 8 position. I think we need to beat SC to get a #1 seed in the Tournament.

 

[PJCLaw]

we're clearly in the 5 to 8 position. I think we need to beat SC to get a #1 seed in the Tournament.

IMO, no lower than 4. In the last AP Poll, UCONN was 3rd behind Lou and NC State and just ahead of SC, UCLA and Stanford. In the last Coaches Poll, UCONN was 4th behind Lou, NCState and SC and just ahead of UCLA and Stanford. Lou will remain No. 1 because it is still undefeated; however, NCState just lost to an unranked VT team that has a losing conference record, so it should drop below UCONN regardless. SC, which lost to a top 10 ranked NCState team at SC should jump to No. 2. UCLA and Stanford both have two losses, with UCLA's 2 losses being better than Stanford's (losses to then No. 7 Arizona and NO.1 Stanford versus Stanford losing to No. 6 UCLA and unranked Colorado), so UCLA may jump UCONN based on the quality of the losses, but I think they stay behind UCONN because of more losses (2 to 1). Stanford should remain below UCONN because of the bad Colorado loss. UCONN lost to a top 20 ranked team on the road by 3 points, so I can't see with the AP or coaches penalizing the team more than 1 spot in either poll, especially because of the bad NCState loss.

So, I expect the AP top 5 to look something like this: 1) Louisville; 2) SC; 3) UCONN (possibly changing places with UCLA); 4) UCLA (possibly changing places with UCONN; and 5) Stanford. The Coaches Poll should look like this: 1) Louisville; 2) SC; 3) UCONN/UCLA; UCLA/UCONN; and 5) Stanford. Maryland, which was No. 7 in the AP and Texas A &M, which was N0. 7 in the Coaches Poll, will not crack the top 5 this week. MD lost at home to a 24th ranked team and A&M lost to unranked LSU. NCState should drop by at least 5 positions in both polls IMO.

 

[LETTERL]

I had UCONN slipping from 2 to 4 on my BY Top 25 ballot, if that gives you any indication what the media voters might be thinking.

I had NC State slipping from 4 to 6.

 

[AmeriConn]

4

 

[LETTERL]

however, NCState just lost to an unranked VT team that has a losing conference record, so it should drop below UCONN regardless.. NCState should drop by at least 5 positions in both polls IMO.

The problem with your reasoning here is that despite its losing conference record, VaTech has 5 losses by 5 points or fewer...and 3 of those losses were by 3, 2 and 2 points. (I have documented this in at least two separate threads in the General Women's Basketball forum). They are very close to having a flipped conference record. You can't simply look at the overall or conference record and say "Eww...that's a bad loss". The coaches will recognize that, at least, if the media is too lazy to do just a little research before posting their ballots.

Or, maybe they will, indeed, severely punish NC State for falling in OT, when our team was gassed and two starters were playing just their second game in a month, and less than a week after being cleared of COVID protocol. We'll just have to wait and see what happens when the polls are updated.

 

[bluedevil]

Tied for 4 seems about right.

 

[Ralph]

NC state gets a pass for their loss, they played without their big. In this Covid year it seems to me everyone, almost, has some losses, some goofy. So I look more at quality wins. For us, we have ok wins versus DePaul (2) and Tennessee. No top 15 wins. We need a big win. Only one chance left, we have to take it or we could be a 2 seed, especially if our game at SC is ugly.

 

[mbr33ct]

For today's AP poll I believe UConn will stay at #3 and I expect #4 South Carolina to swap places with #2 NC State. In my view NC States loss to unranked VA Tech will do then in even though UConn lost to #19 Arkansas but UConn also beat #17 DePaul.

 

[Argonaut]

For today's AP poll I believe UConn will stay at #3 and I expect #4 South Carolina to swap places with #2 NC State. In my view NC States loss to unranked VA Tech will do then in even though UConn lost to #19 Arkansas but UConn also beat #17 DePaul.

That's what happened in my BY25 -- UConn remained at #3 and SC moved to #2 and NC State dropped to #4.

 

[huskeynut]

Writer's poll: UConn stays at 3, SC moves to 2, NCState to 4.

Coaches Poll:
UConn stays at 4, SC moves to 2 and NCState to 3.

But who really knows.

 

[TheFarmFan]

I went South Carolina, Louisville, UConn. I think the only team I'd pick to beat UConn on a neutral floor in April right now is South Carolina, but Louisville got the nod because it's hard to argue with being undefeated. Notably, however, according to Massey they have yet to face a top 25 team, so their record is bloated by a lot of wins over so-so teams.

 

[Charliebball]

well I have UConn at #6..............come to think of it..........who cares..........

 

[geordi]

Homers all. I figure about 6/7.

 

[jumpstart]

I went South Carolina, Louisville, UConn. I think the only team I'd pick to beat UConn on a neutral floor in April right now is South Carolina, but Louisville got the nod because it's hard to argue with being undefeated. Notably, however, according to Massey they have yet to face a top 25 team, so their record is bloated by a lot of wins over so-so teams.

I agree with you on this one. I would have SC at No.1 and Louisville at No. 2 and UCONN at No.3. The polls will put Louisville at No.1 but I think SC, UCONN and Stanford could beat them.

 

[CTBballfan243]

Homers all. I figure about 6/7.

The problem is there are not 5/6 teams that are better than UConn.

 

[Vowelguy]

Probably 4th. I've got us 7th.

 

[JellyBean]

Not far at all.

 

[AmeriConn]

For today's AP poll I believe UConn will stay at #3 and I expect #4 South Carolina to swap places with #2 NC State. In my view NC States loss to unranked VA Tech will do then in even though UConn lost to #19 Arkansas but UConn also beat #17 DePaul.

You nailed it!

 

[DefenseBB]

Homers all. I figure about 6/7.

Wait, what? Name 6 teams better?

 

[Vowelguy]

Wait, what? Name 6 teams better?

I have us behind SC, Lou, Stan, UCLA, NCSt, TxAM right now

 

[visitingcock]

For today's AP poll I believe UConn will stay at #3 and I expect #4 South Carolina to swap places with #2 NC State. In my view NC States loss to unranked VA Tech will do then in even though UConn lost to #19 Arkansas but UConn also beat #17 DePaul.

Whats the next winning powerball number?

 

[mbr33ct]

Whats the next winning powerball number?

Send me a personal message. Don't want multiple powerball winners if I go public.

 

[Bald Husky]

Big game tonight!! NC State vs Louisville. If NC State wins, we will move up to #2, with the big showdown next Monday, #1 vs #2, Uconn and SC.

 

[DefenseBB]

I have us behind SC, Lou, Stan, UCLA, NCSt, TxAM right now

A&M? Really, ok, I have seen that team play 6 games and am not impressed at all.