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Message: [QUOTE="Plebe, post: 3461570, member: 6927"] Guaranteed multi-bid conferences: [LIST] [*][B]Pac-12.[/B] 6 bids, barring a deep P12T run by a bottom-half team like Colorado or USC. [*][B]Big Ten.[/B] Likely 8 bids. But if Purdue loses again to Michigan State, they could be in some danger. [*][B]SEC.[/B] 7 or 8 bids. Alabama is on the bubble. [*][B]ACC.[/B] Likely 5 or 6 bids. Georgia Tech is on the bubble. Can't discount the possibility of a "bid steal" by a lower seed. [*][B]Big 12.[/B] Anywhere from 2 to 6 bids. Texas is likely in but not a lock. Iowa State and Oklahoma State are hovering near the cut line. West Virginia probably needs a strong run in the Big 12 tournament to have a chance. [*][B]Big East.[/B] 2 to 4 bids. Marquette's win over DePaul puts them in safe territory. Creighton is likely in but not a lock. St. John's has a slim chance at a bid. "Bid steal" potential is there as well. [*][B]Missouri Valley.[/B] 2 to 5 bids. Missouri State and Drake are safe. Bradley is very near the cut line. Northern Iowa and Illinois State still have a shot as well. [/LIST] Potential multi-bid conferences (subject to committee decision): [LIST] [*][B]AAC.[/B] UCF is near the cut line. If Cincinnati beats UCF to get to the finals, they'll be in the mix as well. [*][B]Conference USA.[/B] No locks here, but no fewer than 5 teams -- Old Dominion, WKU, Rice, MTSU, Charlotte -- have a chance at an at-large bid. ODU is most likely in but not yet a lock. [*][B]Colonial.[/B] James Madison is very near the cut line. A loss in the conference tournament would force a committee decision. [*][B]Ohio Valley.[/B] Belmont or UT Martin may get a look, but chances are slim. [/LIST] Conditional one-bid conferences (barring a "bid steal" scenario): [LIST] [*][B]WCC.[/B] Gonzaga is a lock. Any other team that wins the WCC tourney would be stealing a bid. [*][B]Summit League.[/B] South Dakota is a lock. Same situation as with Gonzaga in the WCC. [*][B]Mid-American.[/B] Central Michigan is close to a lock, but they need to stop their current two-game losing skid. Ohio fell off the bubble with a recent 3-game skid. Ball State might get a brief look, but highly improbable. [*][B]Atlantic Sun.[/B] FGCU is a lock. Liberty and North Alabama have bid-stealing potential. [*][B]Ivy League.[/B] Princeton is a lock. Yale, Penn and Columbia will be trying to steal a bid. [/LIST] Guaranteed one-bid conferences (regular-season leader/champion in parentheses): [LIST] [*][B]America East[/B] (Stony Brook 14-2 in conference, 25-3 overall) [*][B]Atlantic 10[/B] (Dayton 15-1, 22-8) [*][B]Big Sky[/B] (Montana State 17-1, 19-6) [*][B]Big South[/B] (Campbell 16-2, 19-6) [*][B]Big West[/B] (UC Davis 11-3, 15-11) [*][B]Horizon[/B] (IUPUI 15-3, 20-8) [*][B]Metro Atlantic[/B] (co-leaders Marist and Rider have identical records of 16-2 and 23-4) [*][B]MEAC[/B] (Bethune Cookman 14-1, 20-5) [*][B]Mountain West[/B] (Fresno State 16-2, 22-6) [*][B]Northeast[/B] (Robert Morris 16-1, 20-7) [*][B]Patriot[/B] (Bucknell 15-2, 22-6) [*][B]SoCon[/B] (UNCG, Samford and Chattanooga tied at 10-4) [*][B]Southland[/B] (SFA and TAMCC tied at 15-3) [*][B]Sun Belt[/B] (Coastal Carolina 15-2, 23-3; Troy is a half-game behind at 14-2, 21-4) [*][B]SWAC[/B] (Jackson State 15-1, 17-9) [*][B]WAC[/B] (UMKC 11-3, 16-10) [/LIST] [/QUOTE]

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