Good news from FiveThirtyEight

[Echo Hawk]

The famous Nate Silver probability website which gave UConn a 1% probability of winning the 2014 Championship has us again at 1%. They also give us a 14% shot of winning today. A good contrarian indicator.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-march-madness-predictions/

 

[UC1995]

I hate that he is cheating us out of that extra 2% we so deserve being 1 of only 32 left. Damn theoretical probability. Gets Nate every time!

 

[Echo Hawk]

I hate that he is cheating us out of that extra 2% we so deserve being 1 of only 32 left. Damn theoretical probability. Gets Nate every time!

You are correct. Nate likes the UConn women but not the men.

In the second round of 2014, as a 7, we beat St Joe's in OT in round 1 and then #2 seed Nova by 12 in round 2. Notice the performance of Kansas in the 2nd round.

The 2014 bracket.

http://i.turner.ncaa.com/dr/ncaa/nc...ernal/printable-bracket/2014/bracket-ncaa.pdf

 

[Waquoit]

You are correct. Nate likes the UConn women but not the men.

Not really, he says they only have a 70% chance. If you want to bet in Vegas it's 1-9. That's saying it's an 89% chance.

 

[UConnTrumbull]

Not really, he says they only have a 70% chance. If you want to bet in Vegas it's 1-9. That's saying it's an 89% chance.

Even 89% is being generous to bettors

 

[intlzncster]

Even 89% is being generous to bettors

I considered putting a couple of grand on it. I would put the odds closer to 99.9% If both Stewart and Jefferson get hurt and can't play, they'd probably lose in teh FF.