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Message: [QUOTE="navery12, post: 5206912, member: 6271"] I agree they shouldn't be rated that highly, but it's also such an extreme outlier that I don't think it requires a change to the model. They're rated so highly because their losses have mostly been close with minimal negative impact, and their wins have been with massive point differentials. They lost to Oregon State like you said, then in the rematch won by 38 in a game with a 10 point expected spread. The Baylor game was 3 points and they won by 38. They're a really weird team where they could theoretically go on a run but I'm also not convinced they're actually good [/QUOTE]