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Gamblor Week 2

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whaler11

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A quick look at my tracking app shows I somehow was 14-12-2 for the week. When you are right 51% of the time... you are wrong 49...

Anyway, the locals and the AAC not getting a lot of love in the gambling markets:

The AAC
South Florida is +27.5 at Free Shoe U
UConn is only -6.5 for Army West Point
ECU is +19 @ Florida after opening at 15
Houston is +11 @ Louisville
Cincinnati -7.5 hosting Temple
Tulane is +28 @ Georgia Tech
Central Florida is +17 @ Stanford
Tulsa is +5 @ New Mexico (markets!)

Yikes on the locals
Cuse -6 hosting Wake
Rutgers is a pk hosting Washington State??
UMass is +13.5 @ Colorado


Stuff I like off spots:
Miami -16.5
South Alabama +25.5
Boise St -2.5
Stanford -17
Fresno State +26.5
LA Tech +2

Stuff I just like:
UConn
Houston
Maryland -9
Colorado State +4.5
 

Dooley

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Very surprised at RU pk Washington St. I didn't see their game but figured they'd be favored given how bad the Cougars looked in losing to Portland St. This one screams "too good to be true".

I'm nervous about UConn. My initial reaction was that I thought it was way too low. But then I grew to thinking that we struggle against triple option and we're still learning to win. I'll probably stay away unless there is dramatic movement towards Army (doubtful).

Is Missouri really playing a road game at Arkansas St?? Regardless, Mizzou -11.5 looks good.

I'd be tempted to take Temple's points if it stays over 7. If it dips below, I'm staying away.

Stuff I like REALLY early:

LSU -3 @Miss St
Georgia -19 @Vandy
Oregon +3.5 @Mich St
@Tennessee +1 Oklahoma (more of a hunch)
@Maryland -9 Bowling Green
 

Dooley

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The more this week goes on, the more UConn -7 looks appealing. Tell me, do I have my UConn blue and white (with tints of red!) shades on?
 
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The more this week goes on, the more UConn -7 looks appealing. Tell me, do I have my UConn blue and white (with tints of red!) shades on?

Coming from someone who bet the over on the season win total, I think you're on the right track!
 
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The triple option is good for 14 pts/game. Which means UC needs to score 21.5 to cover. Given our offense this bet comes down to, can we score more than 21 pts?
 
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Have:

Notre Dame (-10, -120)
UCF (+19, -110)
South Alabama (+26.5, -110)
UTSA (+17, -110)
Memphis (-13, -110)
FAU (+17.5, -110)
FIU (+7.5, -110)
Rice (+15.5, -110)
Buffalo (+21, -120)
Michigan St. (-3.5, -110)
 
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Add Buffalo to my merry gang. They seem to be very trendy this week. UCF offense has been infuriating their fans. Low confidence there.
 

whaler11

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A note from a blog I enjoy:

313 Army/314 Connecticut- Sharp money for Army +7 at reduced juice or anything higher.
 

Dooley

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A note from a blog I enjoy:

313 Army/314 Connecticut- Sharp money for Army +7 at reduced juice or anything higher.

Anything more than that? I went light UConn last night after my heavy Pats play pushed with 2 fracking seconds left. Trying to determine whether or not to go heavy UConn but, so far, I've been reluctant (it took a good bit of energy to play it light last night). Our program has just had a history of poor play against the triple option.
 

whaler11

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Anything more than that? I went light UConn last night after my heavy Pats play pushed with 2 fracking seconds left. Trying to determine whether or not to go heavy UConn but, so far, I've been reluctant (it took a good bit of energy to play it light last night). Our program has just had a history of poor play against the triple option.

I got them at 6.5 early. I would take some 7 maybe but not 7.5.
 

Dooley

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I got them at 6.5 early. I would take some 7 maybe but not 7.5.

Agreed. I just took them at 7 last night. I can't give up any more points than that.
 

Dooley

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Bovada for me. So far, no complaints.
 

Dooley

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My plays:

UConn -7
Clemson -19.5
Oregon +4.5
Arkansas/Toledo O56
Ohio St -42 (I feel stupid laying that many pts but Hawaii traveling + home opener for defending champs + OSU run up scores because 2nd/3rd strings want to prove themselves = I'll lay 'em)

For some stupid reason, I can't shake Tennessee but I am waiting until tomorrow for this one as I think I can pick up 1-2 points tomorrow (currently +1). I am fully prepared to be disappointed watching Tennessee lose.

Good luck! I'm off to bed with visions of 2-0 dancing in my head.
 

Dooley

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I like Mizzou too but can't play it so nice it's not listed on Bovada.
 

whaler11

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Well I got 2 great numbers on the first two. Time for an awful number but I like this one. Tulsa over 73.
 

whaler11

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and the rest. sorry dooley go arky st
sjsu +6.5
umass +14
uconn -7
cincinnati -6.5
arkansas state +10.5
oklahoma over 63
buffalo over 48.5
ucf over 45.5
pittsburgh under 50
tulane over 55.5
memphis over 61.5
tulsa +5
uconn over 47.5
georgia southern +4.5
emu +14
miss st +2 first half
 
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Dooley

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and the rest. sorry dooley go arky st
sjsu +6.5
umass +14
uconn -7
cincinnati -6.5
arkansas state +10.5
oklahoma over 63
buffalo over 48.5
ucf over 45.5
pittsburgh under 50
tulane over 55.5
memphis over 61.5
tulsa +5
uconn over 47.5
georgia southern +4.5
emu +14
miss st +2 first half

I can't play Mizzou so no offense taken.

Damn it feels good to have enough faith in our guys to play them again.
 

whaler11

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I can't play Mizzou so no offense taken.

Damn it feels good to have enough faith in our guys to play them again.

Yeah I really like them today for a nice easy win. It's been a long time - maybe that night game against Pitt was the last time.
 
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