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Message: [QUOTE="BlueSkyGLW, post: 4243328, member: 11281"] Agree but in this case, the error is not just analysts' bias but the data used....historical for the season. UConn became a whole team after all their OOC games, the greatly improved performances of the team were against lesser teams....no analyst would include projections based on unknowns without publishing the expected error band. So, the prediction cannot reflect the expected performance of this team as it is now constituted against better opponents nor is it able to account for the intangible gains it made in surviving the ordeal. Having said all that, given the UConn team where it is now, I feel much, much better about their chances than I did of the US Olympic Hockey team against the Soviets in 1960 at Lake Placid. We know what happened to all the predictions for that game..... [/QUOTE]