Final 4 Odds

[Vowelguy]

Totally subjective on my part. I did it game-by-game and then added the probabilities ...

OKLC: Baylr 85%, Tenn 11%, Okl_ 3%, Lou 2%
NORF: NDame 67%, Duke 20%, Neb_ 7%, Kan 7%
BRDG: UConn 53%, Ky__ 30%, Md_ 13%, Del 4%
SPOK: Stan_ 43%, Cal_ 30%, LSU 14%, Ga 13%

 

[Icebear]

Given their late season play I would give LSU slightly better odds.

 

[Wbbfan1]

Curious, based on your odds of 53% for UConn, which team has the best chance of eliminating them from the Final Four? I presume MD & Ky have better odds then Delaware.

Totally subjective on my part. I did it game-by-game and then added the probabilities ...

OKLC: Baylr 85%, Tenn 11%, Okl_ 3%, Lou 2%
NORF: NDame 67%, Duke 20%, Neb_ 7%, Kan 7%
BRDG: UConn 53%, Ky__ 30%, Md_ 13%, Del 4%
SPOK: Stan_ 43%, Cal_ 30%, LSU 14%, Ga 13%

 

[Vowelguy]

I put UConn > MD 75%, UConn > KY 65%, UConn > Del 90%.

 

[diggerfoot]

I appreciate the thought behind this as a fun exercise, but I have two caveats.

First, I don't know how this affects your other odds, but I would say the odds of Duke beating Notre Dame are greater than Kentucky beating UConn, but that's just my opinion.

The second goes beyond mere opinion. I'm not a gambler so I don't know how to proceed with betting on these odds, but please make me a wager based on UConn at only a 53% chance of getting to the Final Four. Can we make it over something like pizzas?