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Do conference tournament championships spark NCAA title runs?
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[QUOTE="bballnut90, post: 3058047, member: 2117"] I don't think it's a good indication, especially if the team comes from a conference where they have multiple final four threats/participants. If you look back year by year you have: Champions who played in conference with FF threat (#2 seed in NCAA tournament or Elite 8 finish): 2018-Notre Dame, lost to a Final Four participant in conference finals (by 2) [B]2017-South Carolina, won over a Final Four participant 2014-UCONN, won over a Final Four threat Louisville[/B] 2013-UCONN, lost to Final Four participant (by 2) 2011-A&M, lost to Final Four threat Baylor (by 3) [B]2009-UCONN, won over Final Four participant 2008-Tennessee, won over Final Four participant[/B] 2007-Tennessee, lost to Final Four participant (by 9) 2006-Maryland, lost to Final Four participant (by 11) 2003-Connecticut, lost to Final Four threat Villanova (by 4) 2001-Notre Dame, lost to Final Four participant (by 2) [B]2000-UCONN, won over Final Four participant 1998-Tennessee, won over Final Four threat Alabama[/B] 1997-Tennessee, lost to non Final Four threat (but conf. had Final Four threats) (by 2) [B]1996-Tennessee, won over non Final Four threat (but conf had Final Four threats)[/B] This group went 7-8 against other Final Four threats or participants....pretty much a toss up if the eventual champion wins or loses. It is worth noting, almost all of the losses by the eventual champion were very competitive or hard fought games. None of the eventual champions were blown out in their conference tournaments. Champions who played in conference without FF threat: 2016 UCONN 2015 UCONN 2012 Baylor 2010 UCONN 2005 Baylor 2004 UCONN (lost) 2002 UCONN 1999 Purdue 1995 UCONN 1994 North Carolina This group went 9-1 playing against pretty weak competition....all of these were no brainer picks, especially UCONN in AAC. Overall I don't think losing in a conference tournament is a bad sign entering the NCAAs as long as you're losing to a good team. However, if you lose badly or lose to a mediocre team, it's a pretty bad sign as only 2004 UCONN and 1997 Tennessee overcame that to win it all. [/QUOTE]
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Do conference tournament championships spark NCAA title runs?
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