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Message: [QUOTE="freescooter, post: 5305701, member: 1023"] The hit rate for late first round (15+)players isn’t really that high. The number who get a 2nd contract is roughly 45-50%. So a 28-29 pick is a coin flip as to whether he will even last. With that in mind you have / choices. Pick the best available or the guy who best fits your needs. Unlikely you’ll find a guy to build around. More likely a bench piece with hope he becomes a regular in a few years. It is also why a fair number of the late round guys spend some time in the G-League to get playing time rather than spend time all their on the bench. We all hope Liam is one of the group that becomes a regular at a minimum. We hope more. But in the larger universe the Celtics chose the guy they think has a better chance of being one of the 45%. Only time will tell whether one, both or neither become important pieces. [/QUOTE]