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Message: [QUOTE="HuskyHawk, post: 2514700, member: 1414"] It is actually really difficult to win a NC with freshman driven teams that have a lot of turnover year to year. NBA talent that is 18 years old is less valuable than Euro league talent at 21 or 22. Those kids have a tendency to be able to play out of their minds great or really poorly game to game. That makes it very hard to win the tournament. It's a problem facing all of those teams, and the reason you see so many upsets. You need experienced players to complement those freshmen. [URL="http://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball-men/article/2017-11-13/college-basketball-what-do-last-10-national-champions-have"]College basketball: What do the last 10 national champions have in common?[/URL] Look at his current roster. Every player who gets minutes is a freshman or sophomore. If he can keep a few, they will be good in a year. [URL="https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/kentucky/2018.html"]2017-18 Kentucky Wildcats Roster and Stats | College Basketball at Sports-Reference.com[/URL] Nova this year has at least four juniors getting major minutes. Allen is a senior at Duke, but the rest are mostly freshmen. They won't win it. Purdue looks very good. Why? Four seniors. MSU starts all freshmen or sophomores, but has four juniors or seniors that play quite a bit and give them stability. [/QUOTE]