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[QUOTE="auror, post: 2727511, member: 1329"]
Notably none of those examples that you cited that started as high as UConn was last year made the tournament. I never said it was impossible. It's within the possible range of outcomes. There is pedigree on the roster. But that's my point. We're starting from a REAL low point. We don't need an Auburn or Penn St-esque climb. We need double their improvement. We need Temple's improvement AND Auburn's improvement in the same season.

Additionally, you say it's not uncommon, but you're looking through the lens of survivorship bias. How many teams didn't climb at all? How many fell spots? How many only rose 20 or 40 spots? Dan Hurley took over Rhode Island in 2013 and they rose 30 spots from their very young 2012 position.

My point was that [I]expecting[/I] a rise that drastic is not reasonable. Again, it could happen. We've got more positive indicators in our situation than most 180th ranked teams. But I'm sure as hell not going to consider it likely.
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