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Message: [QUOTE="auror, post: 2980492, member: 1329"] KenPom and others have done work and found that on average non-top 30 freshman are often not important to team success in their first year. That's the expected cutoff for consistently positively affecting winning. So that's not just showing flashes, but being an important net positive contributor. Always exceptions, etc. But take Akinjo. He's a low top 100 recruit, thrust into a big role at Georgetown. It seems like he's blossoming as a freshman, but he's got a 27% turnover rate and despite better shooting of late he's shooting 42% on 2s so he has a sub 100 ORTG. Akok and Kofi are on the fringe of top 30, and would probably be good contributors with a neutral overall impact as freshmen. Precious would likely swing the needle a good deal. [/QUOTE]