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Message: [QUOTE="Plebe, post: 3066478, member: 6927"] Tennessee's wins *are* better than Ohio's. How much better? Well... There are of course infinite ways to slice the analysis, but the committee is likely to see it as Tennessee having 2 wins over teams in the 6 to 7 seed range, compared to one for Ohio in the same seed range (over Central Michigan), and having an additional 4 wins over fellow bubble teams (Clemson, Auburn x2, LSU), compared to 2 for Ohio (Buffalo and Miami OH). (If we're generous with our definition of "bubble team" we could include Ohio's win over Lamar, but then we'd have to also add Tennessee's win over Belmont.) I would say this gap is not negligible but of course not huge either, and yes, not as substantial as the difference in bad losses. The losses to Alabama and especially Vanderbilt are damaging. But again, the committee has consistently shown that quality wins matter more than bad losses. Just how much more? The million-dollar question. You mention that the "quality win" emphasis favors the P5 teams, and this could well be true. But you don't have to be a P5 team to schedule up in the nonconference to seek out some quality wins, and that's a glaring weakness in Ohio's resume. The committee will not look favorably on Ohio's dismal nonconference SOS ranking of #266, compared to Tennessee's #55, and that is a huge difference that could break the comparison Tennessee's way. But regardless, no doubt it's a close call. [/QUOTE]