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Message: [QUOTE="oldhusky, post: 4774969, member: 9844"] Perhaps LSU might be the most likely to win the SEC, I don't know, but regardless South Carolina has a darn good chance to win it and Tennessee probably has a long shot chance. Charlie has the worst case scenario for LSU still winning the SEC but failing in the NCAA tournament, that's just crazy. LSU is not a lock for the SEC championship or anywhere close to it even if they might be a favorite. It appears that Charlie's lack of understanding of probabilities has him underestimating the spread or standard deviation of possible outcomes for all teams. He thinks only three teams can win the championship, ridiculously low upside for many good teams, and is equally underestimating downside for LSU if he thinks the SEC is a given. [/QUOTE]