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Message: [QUOTE="champs99and04, post: 2650917, member: 488"] It makes plenty of sense because it demonstrates how emotion and recency bias are woven into the narratives we develop. It's kind of like absolute truth in that all of our observations are colored by the perceived outcome. Our opinions on Ollie as a coach can exist independently of this phenomenon, but it cannot be denied outright by anyone who has read this board this season alone. I'm unclear on how 2014 could have been both a fluke and KO's responsibility. I think I know what you mean when you say that, but you're simply regurgitating a popular fallacy amongst sports fans (i.e. Eli's two Super Bowl runs were flukes). The bulk of existing evidence indicates that it's more likely than not that KO is closer to the coach he has been recently than the one he was originally, but that's different than discarding it entirely. The first two years are just as much a part of his resume as the last two. If people think that something changed, fine. That's part of the evaluation. But determining whether the circumstances that led to that success is replicable is going to be more involved than most people here will admit, and the uncomfortable reality will remain that KO has accomplished things in the profession that Hurley has not. I don't want to diminish what was originally intended as a preemptive defense of Hurley by continuing to argue Ollie's case, though. My proposed hypothetical - where Hurley is basically Jamie Dixon for a while - essentially represents the inverse of Ollie's resume: commendable consistency followed by the inability to string wins together in the tournament. I don't want to hear people suggesting that there is something innate about Hurley's inevitable shortcomings when we never applied the opposite in cases where it would have kept somebody employed. My instinct is that you'll be smart enough to not fall into this trip if and when the time comes, but your assertment that "we'll start to question if he can win the big one" if he goes to the tournament with high seeds and can't make the final four has me concerned that you've been sequestered by the mob. [/QUOTE]

Verification: First name of men's bb coach