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Message: [QUOTE="auror, post: 3462551, member: 1329"] We've agreed that our ideal matchup is Tulsa in the quarters. There are 2 ways that can happen: [LIST] [*]As the 7 seed if Tulsa gets the 2 seed, [*]As the 6 seed if Tulsa gets the 3 seed [/LIST] [I]Tulsa can't get below 3 and we can't get below 7 at this point. [/I] Tulsa currently has a game in hand against Cincinnati with the same number of wins, but have 2 road games remaining, whereas Cincy only has game left which is home. Cincinnati owns the tiebreaker, also. Tulsa is @Temple tonight and @Wichita St. on Sunday. They are 1 point underdogs tonight and 8 point underdogs against Wichita. Both games will be senior nights, and Wichita will be playing for an NCAA at-large bid. It is extremely likely that Tulsa will lose at least one of those games: 88% according to KenPom. Which means... Thanks to their big emotional comeback win last night, if Cincy wins their last game they will likely be the #2 seed. They play Saturday at home on senior night vs. Temple, and they are 10 point favorites (81% chance to win). Factoring in Tulsa's odds, this gives Cincinnati a 71% chance overall of being the 2 seed. The health of Cumberland factors into this a little bit, so keep an eye on that. [/QUOTE]