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[QUOTE="nelsonmuntz, post: 4531097, member: 833"]
Using teams with RPI's 50 or better as a rough proxy for how many bids a league will get, here is the breakdown by conference:

ACC: 5
Big East: 5
Big 10: 7 (actually 8, but Ohio State has a losing record and is obviously not getting a bid)
Big 12: 8 (all 35 or better)
Pac 12: 2
SEC: 8 (but 4 of them are in the 40's, so unlikely to get 8 bids).
MWC: 5 (all better than 40)
WCC: 2

42 teams less 8 automatic bids = 34 at-large bids between them.  There are 36 at-large bids available.  There are not a lot of clear cut at large prospects outside of those conferences other than Memphis.  Florida Atlantic is probably getting an at-large if they lose in their conference tournament, and Oral Roberts and Charleston have shots at at-large bids if they lose in their conference finals.

It is a zero sum game from here on out for the conferences.  A Big 10 bubble team going on a 4 game winning streak means 4 Big 10 teams are picking up losses to a bubble team.  For the Big East, Seton Hall's road to an at-large is just too tough.  I don't think they will get it.

My gut is that the ACC gets 6, SEC gets 6 or 7, and the Pac 12 gets USC in.  The other conferences get their Top 50 NET teams in.
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