Reply to thread

Message: [QUOTE="Hurleyman216, post: 4530357, member: 3517"] Lol, ok well I’m not in the 95% on this board. I’ve got a Ph.D in engineering and more than likely can run circles around your “stats” skills without a lot of effort. What’s the statistical probability of Houston’s plane crashing between now and selection Sunday? Whatever that number is also happens to be the same probability that they aren’t making the tournament. Do you understand how conditional probability works? The outcomes of these future games are not an example of unconditional probability which is what you’re using for logic. There is a 0% chance they lose all of their remaining games unless like I mentioned above their plane crashes and they can’t field a team. When you use unconditional probabilities to determine conditional probability outcomes it makes you look stupid and uneducated. I don’t care if CBS uses the same logic, it’s still stupid and doesn’t make sense. [/QUOTE]