Bubble Watch 03/14 | The Boneyard

Bubble Watch 03/14

nelsonmuntz

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The field is firming up. I think Xavier is in. The SEC is getting 14 bids, with none of the SEC teams really even on the bubble anymore. We will find out pretty quickly next week if all the team metrics models are any good.

Fun fact: Lunardi's "updated" bracketology has mistakes in it. It has the SEC with 13 bids but 14 teams actually in the field. It has the Big 10 with 9 bids but 8 teams actually in the field.

There are 31 automatic bids, 24 from 1 bid leagues, and 7 from multi-bid leagues. That leaves 44 spots (7 autobids and 37 at large) for the multi-bid leagues.

My field:

SEC (14): Kentucky, Alabama, Auburn, Florida, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Mississippi, Mississippi State, Missouri, Arkansas, Georgia, Vanderbilt, Oklahoma, Texas

Big 10 (8): Michigan State, Maryland, Michigan, Wisconsin, Purdue, UCLA, Illinois, Oregon

Big 12 (8): Houston, Texas Tech, BYU, Arizona, Iowa State, Baylor, Kansas, West Virginia

Big East (5): UConn, Marquette, St. John's, Creighton, Xavier

ACC (4): Duke, Clemson, Louisville, North Carolina

MWC (3): New Mexico, Utah State, Boise State

WCC (2): Gonzaga, St. Mary's



On the edge: Boise State, West Virginia, Xavier. There doesn't need to be a last 4 in because after these three, the bids are all pretty much locked up.

Just Missing: Indiana, Ohio State, San Diego State

Potential bid stealers:

A10: VCU or Dayton, although I don't think Dayton gets a bid unless they win the A10.
AAC: Memphis is a lock whether they win the conference or not.
 

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