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Bracketology - Week 18 (merged)
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[QUOTE="Dugway, post: 5210348, member: 13446"] I have previously spoken about 'many games still to be played', and I do stick by that. There is a lot that can happen in the conference tournaments that could affect the seeding. Unfortunately, there is also the chance of an injury to someone's key player that could hurt their seeding. As far as what I am seeing right now, after the conclusion of the regular season: With the exception of an injury or a bad loss in the tournament, I think that the top six or so are going to shake out to still be the top six or so... UConn, Texas, So. Car., So. Cal., Irish, & UCLA. To me, it is unknown how that order gets scrambled around, and frankly I don't know that it much matters! Every single one of those teams, better be prepared to compete against every other one of these teams when it comes to an Elite 8 game. There is simply a lot of parity at the top this season! To me, it is the bottom end of the two-seeds, and the three and four seeds that will be interesting to see who is placed where, and how beatable each team may be in the dance: [LIST] [*][B]LSU[/B] - In my eyes, [B]trending down[/B]; they've lost 3 of last 5, including a loss in their last game of the season yesterday at home against unrated Ole Miss. Johnson is banged up, and without her that team looks very beatable to me. If the tournament were to be picked today, on my scorecard they would not be a 2-Seed, that is for certain. [*][B]N.C.[/B] - in my eyes, [B]trending down;[/B] they had a home loss yesterday in their last game of the season, to a 16-14 Virginia! It was a close game, but that is a bad loss at home in the final game of the season. They should have destroyed that Virginia team. [*][B]N.C. St.[/B] - in my eyes, [B]trending up;[/B] they are playing very well over the past two months, including the big win over the Irish. Their last loss was a month and a half ago, on the road to archrival N.C. in a very close 65-66 game. Other than that I don't believe they have lost in 2025 and they play in that ACC Conference, so some pretty stiff competition. [*][B]T.C.U.[/B] - in my eyes, [B]trending up[/B]; this team has an overall record of 28-3. That is the same 28-3 record that we at UConn have! And, arguably they played as tough of a schedule as we did. They had one bad loss on the entire season, a one-point game to Oklahoma State on the road. We will have to see how their tournament goes, but if it were selection time right now, I would put them in a 2-Seed position. [*][B]Tenn[/B] - in my eyes, [B]trending down;[/B] I think that they peaked with their win over UConn. A few days after beating us, they lost at home to LSU. And since that loss, they have also lost their last two games of the season. I think they have run out of gas. [*][B]Kan. St.[/B] - in my eyes, [B]trending down;[/B] their team seems to live and die with Ayoka Lee. That kid is spectacular, but she is big and has foot issues. Just the other day, she had another 'minor surgery', this time to her 'good foot'! Injuries sux for every team, but it is the reality of the game. Kan. State is just not a great team without Lee. [*][B]Ohio St - in my eyes, very solid 3-seed[/B]; they lost, but played a very close game (90-93), on the road to a top 20 team Maryland in their last game of the season. That last game of the season, playing at home, well, you have to win that game. And Maryland did, but Ohio State was nip and tuck the entire way. To me, the Buckeyes seem like a team who is going to fight for every single inch that they can! [*][B]Duke - in my eyes, also a 3-seed[/B]; a few weeks back they went on a two-game losing streak, to Notre Dame, and then a bad loss at home by 8-pts to Louisville. Since that time, they have beaten N.C., and yesterday on the road, last game of the season they went in and blew apart Florida State. Yes, the same Seminoles who put a thumping to the Irish the week before. [*][B]Kentucky - 4-Seed, I guess (maybe)[/B]; that team has played a very difficult schedule over the past nine games. They had a bad loss to A&M, and then another bad loss to Ole Miss. And they sure have not beaten LSU, Texas or So Car. They were certainly in those games, but they didn't win any of them and you get no credit for not being blown out. A loss by a dozen is still a loss by a dozen. [/LIST] [/QUOTE]
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