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[QUOTE="Plebe, post: 3022122, member: 6927"] The idea is a good one, but the devil's in the details. I don't think it'd be tenable to have a ranking system in which some teams' games only count vs. certain opponents and not others. For example, just throwing some numbers out there, if the #1 team plays #150, you're saying that game won't count. But if #50 plays #150, it does? So where do you arbitrarily draw the line? At the #10 team? #25? The validity of any computer ranking is partly based on a level-playing-field treatment of all teams in its "universe," without the natural human biases toward a team's reputation, history or conference affiliation. Hard for me to imagine this adjustment not undermining that level field of play. I hear you saying it'd be based on "statistical history of ... probability of victory," but even if that "statistical history" is at or near zero, that guarantees nothing. Stanford was a #1 seed in 1998 and lost to a #16 seed in the first round of the NCAA tournament. "Statistical history" would suggest that such a victory was impossible, yet it happened. [/QUOTE]
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