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- Sep 2, 2011
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I haven't got much faith in my own thoughts, but with a week to go it seems time to get everybody on record.
I think we will pound all our 'buy' games, beat Memphis, beat either Colorado or Michigan St, and then win the Maui Final whether we play North Carolina, Iowa St, or Auburn. I don't think those teams have the right mix of Kryptonite to beat us. I like our matchups against each team's strengths.
I'd love to see #8 Baylor vs #6 Gonzaga 11:30 Mon night to get a better sense, but I give us an edge in each of those matchups. Same with #19 Texas.
I could see 11-0 non conference and expect at least 9-2. With 6 power conference teams and 4 opponents ranked, even a 3-3 split with the big boys should keep us at a high seed.
The Big East is where I see more trouble. I think we get tripped up 4-6x and that Creighton might slip into the #1 Big East Tourney seed. I think we split with Creighton and drop a couple to teams below the middle on a couple nights where we shoot poorly. 20 games say 15-5 = Overall 26-5 to 24-7 heading to post season.
Big East tourney make the finals then a 50/50 game.
NCAA's I do think we make the final 4 and I will not go on record against the 3peat but it is mostly hope. (With a gun to my head I'm weary of Duke)
Lastly, we can withstand any in season backcourt or wing injury, but not a center losing multiple games this year, despite keeping it together when Clingan was out in 2024. Add 2-4 more losses if we have to band aid the post.
I think we will pound all our 'buy' games, beat Memphis, beat either Colorado or Michigan St, and then win the Maui Final whether we play North Carolina, Iowa St, or Auburn. I don't think those teams have the right mix of Kryptonite to beat us. I like our matchups against each team's strengths.
I'd love to see #8 Baylor vs #6 Gonzaga 11:30 Mon night to get a better sense, but I give us an edge in each of those matchups. Same with #19 Texas.
I could see 11-0 non conference and expect at least 9-2. With 6 power conference teams and 4 opponents ranked, even a 3-3 split with the big boys should keep us at a high seed.
The Big East is where I see more trouble. I think we get tripped up 4-6x and that Creighton might slip into the #1 Big East Tourney seed. I think we split with Creighton and drop a couple to teams below the middle on a couple nights where we shoot poorly. 20 games say 15-5 = Overall 26-5 to 24-7 heading to post season.
Big East tourney make the finals then a 50/50 game.
NCAA's I do think we make the final 4 and I will not go on record against the 3peat but it is mostly hope. (With a gun to my head I'm weary of Duke)
Lastly, we can withstand any in season backcourt or wing injury, but not a center losing multiple games this year, despite keeping it together when Clingan was out in 2024. Add 2-4 more losses if we have to band aid the post.