During the JPM era how many years has Duke underachieved? In each of the last four years they were in a bad regional to make it to the Final Four and were not upset. This year they were touted as one of the top four at the start, and they probably were, with Notre Dame replacing Stanford in regards to preseason expectations. They beat California, the team that did come out of that particular regional, the regional they should have been place in for either the front side or the back side of an S curve.
JPM herself took a Michigan State team farther than what the high school rated talent would suggest to the Final Four. Since joining Duke her team has dominated a tough conference. In many ways she reminds me of Calhoun's UConn teams in the nineties, dominating a good basketball conference with defense and hustle yet getting screwed by where we were placed in the NCAA tournament.
Actually, when you think about it there's a bit of delicious irony here, because no team has benefited more on the men's side from where they were placed and seeded in the NCAAs than the Duke men. Maybe the women's team is suffering the sins of the men's program, while our women enjoy the advantages deprived of our men's program in the nineties.
I will be very surprised if Duke does not make the Final Four next year, unless the NCAA finds some reason to put them in the same regional as UConn, in keeping with their past misfortunes.
Adding on to this: I don't think the Duke roster is as impressive as ours for a five person sport. Our number one in Stewart blows Williams out by a country mile, while we have another one in KML as "backup." In a five-man game I would fully expect our roster to beat theirs, even if our coach was not superior.