Reply to thread

Message: [QUOTE="JustbrewitMan, post: 5149153, member: 7806"] Many of the stat nerd sites have "luck adjustment" settings that try to account for 3pt/2pt shooting that goes well above/below the team averages. Of course, it's not a perfect adjustment (as a team playing no perimeter defense will definitely promote higher 3pt% shooting vs. one who consistently limits wide-open looks). But for the run of 7 games starting at the MTE against Top 80 KenPom teams, they are shooting 48.1%. Luck-Adjustment indicates those teams, on average, should have shot 39.4% If you filter starting at our first post-MTE game (where the eye test showed we were starting to improve our D, those numbers are 44.6% and 38.3% luck-adjusted. At the same time, we've shot only 32.3% (luck adjustment = 35.1%) Teams are just going off versus us. The fact that we are still stacking wins in the face of it is a testament to our team's offense and also our interior 2pt D. [/QUOTE]