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in terms of realistic shot at an at-large bid. At the start of the season I thought the worst case scenario would be 7-5 prior to start of AAC & losing AG or TL for extended time. That would be the reality if we lose to Auburn & we would be 1-5 in "meaningful" games. No we don't have any "bad" loses but the margin in our loses sure looks very bad on paper. A win vs Auburn wouldn't put us in great shape but it puts the train back on the tracks
Yes, we still have Nova & 8 games vs WSU / Cincy / SMU / Houston / Temple..........can we win 5 of those 9 with at least 21 overall wins?.....7-6 in non-conf & 12-6 in AAC won't do it.....it will take at minimum 8-5 in non conf & 13-5 in AAC IMO so anyway you slice it Auburn is (almost) a must win for at-large hopes.
Yes, we still have Nova & 8 games vs WSU / Cincy / SMU / Houston / Temple..........can we win 5 of those 9 with at least 21 overall wins?.....7-6 in non-conf & 12-6 in AAC won't do it.....it will take at minimum 8-5 in non conf & 13-5 in AAC IMO so anyway you slice it Auburn is (almost) a must win for at-large hopes.