Andy Katz Bracketology | The Boneyard

Andy Katz Bracketology

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Has UConn as last 4 in and 6 total Big East teams

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I think tonights game with Marquette is going to tell us a lot about this team. If we have another performance like we did vs DePaul, then I think more people will be on board. We have the Big East leading scorer and rebounder. I can't remember the last time we had a good team and it took the "experts" so long to figure it out and give us the respect we deserve. I know we lost the Creighton game, but it was only by 2, and if we won that game we would be ranked probably 15-20.
 
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I think tonights game with Marquette is going to tell us a lot about this team. If we have another performance like we did vs DePaul, then I think more people will be on board. We have the Big East leading scorer and rebounder. I can't remember the last time we had a good team and it took the "experts" so long to figure it out and give us the respect we deserve. I know we lost the Creighton game, but it was only by 2, and if we won that game we would be ranked probably 15-20.
Am I the only one that does not think Creighton is the 7th best team in the nation? Regardless, because they're ranked so high I agree that we'd likely be ranked at this point had we finished that one out.
 
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do not wanna be one of the play in games. a 10 or 11 seed would be great. i'd rather be a 10 or 11 than an 8 or 9 seed.

think you have a better chance of getting to the sweet 16 playing a 6 and 3 seed or 7 and 2 seed than you do playing a 8/9 and 1 seed. that 1 seed is usually an automatic L.
 

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This is the second projection I’ve seen with us playing UCLA
 
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Am I the only one that does not think Creighton is the 7th best team in the nation? Regardless, because they're ranked so high I agree that we'd likely be ranked at this point had we finished that one out.
I generally agree. At first glance there wasn't much about Creighton that suggests they are considerably better than us. So either we are better than 26+ or whatever. Or Creighton is not the 7tn best team.

But I'd add one really good thing about Creighton. With a few minutes to go we had them in a lot of trouble. Pretty much had them beat. But Creighton had the ability to flip a switch and win. In particular with how they defended Bouk. Good teams have a tendency to do that.

Our 99 team was maybe the best example. They frequently played tight games against considerably lesser opponents. Late in the game they would make 5 or 6 stops/buckets for the win. Certainly not suggesting Creighton is anything like our 99 team. But they definitely flipped a switch and won the game. As I said, in particular with the way they guarded Bouk.
 
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Am I the only one that does not think Creighton is the 7th best team in the nation? Regardless, because they're ranked so high I agree that we'd likely be ranked at this point had we finished that one out.
If you're a 3 seed, that means they have you between 9 and 12. Not 7th
 
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If you're a 3 seed, that means they have you between 9 and 12. Not 7th
They’re ranked #7 in the country right now. I was alluding to the AP poll.

We lost vs Creighton because I couldn’t find my dang “Dan Hurley - The Carpenter” shirt. 5-0 after tonight with it on. That ones on me, not RJ!
 
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8 seed in Palm's update today (not that these updates mean anything since the Huskies have played only 6 games). At least we wouldn't have to play UNC in North Carolina this time. :)

 
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8 seed in Palm's update today (not that these updates mean anything since the Huskies have played only 6 games). At least we wouldn't have to play UNC in North Carolina this time. :)

We absolutely need to play ourselves into a 7+ seed or remain a 10 seed. It just seems like an 8 or 9 seed almost guarantees a 2nd round exit if we play Baylor or Gonzaga 2nd round. I’m sure if I did a little research, 7 and 10 seeds have fared better in the history of the tournament over 8 and 9 seeds.
 
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We absolutely need to play ourselves into a 7+ seed or remain a 10 seed. It just seems like an 8 or 9 seed almost guarantees a 2nd round exit if we play Baylor or Gonzaga 2nd round. I’m sure if I did a little research, 7 and 10 seeds have fared better in the history of the tournament over 8 and 9 seeds.
I think if we continue on current trajectory, being seeded over 7 would be criminal
 
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We are up to a projected 6 seed here with an 81% chance of making the tournament. As I said above, I do believe a 6-7 seed is a more likely landing spot for us if we continue to play the way we are. And our ceiling is higher if we continue to improve and guys like Akok and Andre get healthy.
 
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We absolutely need to play ourselves into a 7+ seed or remain a 10 seed. It just seems like an 8 or 9 seed almost guarantees a 2nd round exit if we play Baylor or Gonzaga 2nd round. I’m sure if I did a little research, 7 and 10 seeds have fared better in the history of the tournament over 8 and 9 seeds.
Interestingly, 8 and 9 seeds have a better winning percentage than 10 seeds which is not what I would have guessed either. But if you just look at round 2, 10 seeds are 27-38 (.415) and 8/9 seeds are 26-141 (.155)
 
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Interestingly, 8 and 9 seeds have a better winning percentage than 10 seeds which is not what I would have guessed either. But if you just look at round 2, 10 seeds are 27-38 (.415) and 8/9 seeds are 26-141 (.155)
Thanks for posting those are pretty interesting numbers. I guess it depends on how confident you are your team makes it past the first round.
 
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Interestingly, 8 and 9 seeds have a better winning percentage than 10 seeds which is not what I would have guessed either. But if you just look at round 2, 10 seeds are 27-38 (.415) and 8/9 seeds are 26-141 (.155)

Thanks for posting those are pretty interesting numbers. I guess it depends on how confident you are your team makes it past the first round.
Exactly, I was portraying confidence that we can get out of the 1st round, and that was what I meant. I would hate to face the 1 seed vs having to play the 2 seed in the 2nd round. Those % numbers make sense to me in the 2nd round.
 

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