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Message: [QUOTE="cferraro04, post: 4896406, member: 267"] [B][COLOR=rgb(226, 80, 65)][SIZE=7]COMMENTS[/SIZE][/COLOR][/B] [COLOR=rgb(0, 0, 0)][SIZE=5]Hard to believe that we are already looking at the last game of the regular season. The first UConn vs Providence game this season resulted in a 44-point victory for UConn (85-41). I believe there will be a small change to Providence's starting line-up this time around. It will result in a very tall starting five for Providence. They will probably start: 1. Olivia Olsen - 6'3"; 2. Marta Morales-Romero - 6'1"; 3. Brynn Farrell - 6'0"; 4. Emily Archibald - 6'0"; 5. Grace Efosa - 5'11". UConn will play the same line-up: 1. Aaliyah Edwards - 6'3"; 2. Paige Bueckers - 6'0"; 3. Nika Muhl - 5'11"; 4. Ashlynn Shade - 5'10"; 5. KK Arnold 5'9" What UConn gives up in size they will more than make up with talent. In the first match-up, there was a sort of mixed bag concerning the results. Providence out-rebounded UConn 45 to 39. UConn forced Providence into 28 turnovers while only committing 8 themselves. UConn was able to get 33 points off turnovers while Providence was only 5 points. UConn was able to get 25 fast-break points while Providence was able to get 3 points off fast breaks. UConn dominated the paint offensively scoring 48 points in the paint to Providence's 16 points. UConn shot a very poor 57.8% from the foul line making only 11-28. Providence didn't shoot too well from the FT line either 50 percent shooting 9-18. UConn had 20 steals while Providence had 2 steals. Brady and Samuels both got 19 minutes in game one. Both teams shot poorly from three: UConn - 22 percent; Providence - 26.7 percent. UConn had five players in double figures in their first match-up. Providence averages 58.7 points, 38.5 rebounds, 16.5 assists, 4.5 threes and 19.4 turnovers. UConn averages 82 points, 38.8 rebounds, 20.0 assists, 7.0 threes and 12.9 turnovers.[/SIZE][/COLOR] [COLOR=rgb(226, 80, 65)][SIZE=7][B]ANALYSIS[/B][/SIZE] [SIZE=6][B]Aaliyah Edwards - 6'3" vs Olivia Olsen - 6'3"[/B][/SIZE][/COLOR][COLOR=rgb(0, 0, 0)][SIZE=5] - Aaliyah Edwards is playing like an All-American and is averaging 18.1 points, 9.5 rebounds, 2.1 assists, 1.6 steals, and .8 blocks per game. With limited minutes in the first match-up, Aaliyah underperformed her averages. She should see limited minutes in this game as well but it should be enough for her to outperform her opponent's statistics. Olivia averages 14.2 points, 8.8 rebounds, 1.1 assists, and 1.1 steals, and she gets 1.8 blocks per game. I expect that Aaliyah will once again get the better of her opponent. [/SIZE][/COLOR][COLOR=rgb(85, 57, 130)][SIZE=7][B]ADVANTAGE - UCONN[/B][/SIZE][/COLOR] [COLOR=rgb(226, 80, 65)][SIZE=6][B]Paige Bueckers - 6'0" vs Brynn Farrell - 6'0"[/B][/SIZE][/COLOR][COLOR=rgb(0, 0, 0)][SIZE=5] - With the coaching staff imploring Paige to shoot more, with the tournaments right around the corner, and with Paige coming off a much-needed 31-point effort I think we will continue to see Paige looking for her shot more. Paige is playing like the Big East Player of the Year and is currently averaging 20.8 points, 4.5 rebounds, 3.7 assists, 2.1 steals, 1.1 blocks, and 2.0 three-pointers per game. Brynn is averaging 10.4 points, 4.8 rebounds, 2.0 assists, 1.0 steals, and 1.2 three-pointers per game. [/SIZE][/COLOR][COLOR=rgb(85, 57, 130)][SIZE=7][B]ADVANTAGE - UCONN [/B][/SIZE][/COLOR] [COLOR=rgb(226, 80, 65)][SIZE=6][B]Nika Muhl - 5'11" vs Marta Morales-Romero - 6'1"[/B][/SIZE][/COLOR][COLOR=rgb(0, 0, 0)][SIZE=5] - Nika gives up two inches in this match-up however she is a tenacious on-ball defender who will give Marta a lot of problems. Marta averages 7.4 points, 3.7 rebounds, 2.2 assists, 1 steal, and 1 three-pointer per game. Nika averages 7.1 points, 4.1 rebounds, 6.4 assists, 1.2 steals, and 1.3 three-pointers per game. While these two players are statistically very close...Nika will separate herself from Marta by her on-ball defense and her impact on the game in her ability to distribute the ball to the right players at the right time. [/SIZE][/COLOR][COLOR=rgb(85, 57, 130)][SIZE=7][B]ADVANTAGE - UCONN[/B][/SIZE][/COLOR] [COLOR=rgb(226, 80, 65)][SIZE=6][B]Ashlynn Shade - 5'10" vs Emily Archibald - 6'0"[/B][/SIZE][/COLOR][COLOR=rgb(0, 0, 0)][SIZE=5] - I would expect to see Ashlynn have a good bounce-back game against the Friars. Ashlynn didn't have that great a game against Villanova I look for her to be more like herself in this match-up. Ashlynn averages 11.3 points, 3.1 rebounds, 1/6 assists, 1 steal, and 1.7 three-pointers per game. Emily averages 4.3 points, 5.1 rebounds 1.4 assists, 1 steal, and .6 three-pointers per game. [/SIZE][/COLOR][COLOR=rgb(85, 57, 130)][SIZE=7][B]ADVANTAGE - UCONN[/B][/SIZE][/COLOR] [COLOR=rgb(226, 80, 65)][SIZE=6][B]KK Arnold - 5'9" vs Grace Efosa 5'11"[/B][/SIZE][/COLOR][COLOR=rgb(0, 0, 0)][SIZE=5] - Grace did not start against UConn in their first game but she was able to tally 8 points and six rebounds. In the first game, KK spent most of her time defending Laryn Edwards and she was very effective against the Friars. KK tallied 16 points, 2 rebounds, 3 assists, and 8 steals. KK usually averages 8.8 points, 2.7 rebounds, 3.2 assists, 2.3 steals, and .7 three-pointers per game while Grace averages 12.7 points, 5.3 rebounds, 1.4 assists, 1 steal, and 1.2 three-pointers per game. I think KK is capable of handling Grace but I think in this game Grace may statistically outperform KK. [/SIZE][/COLOR] [COLOR=rgb(85, 57, 130)][SIZE=7][B]ADVANTAGE - PROVIDENCE[/B][/SIZE][/COLOR] [COLOR=rgb(226, 80, 65)][SIZE=7][B]BENCH [/B][/SIZE][/COLOR] [COLOR=rgb(0, 0, 0)][SIZE=5]Providence will bring 28.1 points and 14.8 rebounds off the bench. UConn will bring 11.0 points and 7.2 rebounds off the bench.[/SIZE][/COLOR] [COLOR=rgb(85, 57, 130)][SIZE=7][B]ADVANTAGE - PROVIDENCE[/B][/SIZE][/COLOR] [COLOR=rgb(226, 80, 65)][SIZE=7][B]INTANGIBLES [/B][/SIZE][/COLOR] [COLOR=rgb(0, 0, 0)][SIZE=5]This game will be played in Providence however, the talent and experience level of UConn will be too much for Providence to overcome. Also, with both Farrell and Efosa having their senior nights will that take an emotional toll during the first quarter of the game? [/SIZE][/COLOR][COLOR=rgb(85, 57, 130)][SIZE=7][B]ADVANTAGE - UCONN[/B][/SIZE][/COLOR] [COLOR=rgb(226, 80, 65)][SIZE=7][B]COACHING[/B][/SIZE][/COLOR] [COLOR=rgb(0, 0, 0)][SIZE=5]With the talent level being so lop-sided and the coaching staff trying to find minutes for the reserves I don't see Geno and crew letting this one get away from them.[/SIZE][/COLOR] [COLOR=rgb(85, 57, 130)][SIZE=7][B]ADVANTAGE - UCONN[/B][/SIZE][/COLOR] [COLOR=rgb(226, 80, 65)][SIZE=7][B]SCORE[/B][/SIZE][/COLOR] [COLOR=rgb(85, 57, 130)][SIZE=6][B]UCONN - 81 PROVIDENCE - 47 MOV - 34[/B][/SIZE][/COLOR] [/QUOTE]

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