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Analysis and Comments - Game 14 - UConn vs Creighton
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[QUOTE="Bone Dog, post: 4835548, member: 12088"] Thanks again, [USER=267]@cferraro04[/USER]. If I were thinking in terms of matchups, I think [B]we win every single one[/B]. If you look at Creighton's starters, they're having their best seasons since they got there. But their worst games individually have tended to be against UConn, and I expect that trend to continue. Jensen, Brake and Ronsiek are in the same league athletically, but they are not as talented as Paige, Aaliyah or Aubrey, and I doubt they can keep up with Nika, KK and Ashlynn. Jensen in particular has struggled against Nika. Given that Creighton is a high-volume shooting team, percentages matter more than points scored. If we hold them to under 40%, we dominate them. And Aubrey poses an insurmountable problem for their bigs. But Creighton more than most teams doesn't play as individuals. They play a high energy, switching defense, and a quick passing and screening offense. They love chucking up 3s and they chase down every long rebound. When we've let them get close to us, it was generally because we let them out-hustle us. When they're [B]on[/B], they seem to get every 50-50 ball. This means, if we bring the same defensive energy we had against Marquette, we should exhaust them before the end of the 3rd quarter. This spells blowout to me. But if we can't summon up that same energy, it could be a close game. And since they aren't very tall, I expect the small lineup -- Paige Nika KK Ashlyn Aubrey -- to do very well against them. And the 4-out lineup should allow Aaliyah to dominate the low post if Ash Paige and Q are hitting 3s. This is an opportunity for Ice to develop some confidence. But I think KK Ash and Q to have their best games of the season. If Geno spots Q up in the corner, it will have to be Brake or Maly who comes out to guard her since Jensen and Mogensen are not long enough, and they can't spare Ronsiek for that assignment. And if they don't contest her, Q should be dropping daggers all evening long. As for Ash, she can sink them with 3s, but I think those midrange jumpshots will be utterly demoralizing, especially next to Paige. And KK -- I'm grinning in anticipation of how she' might just run them ragged. They are a hustling team, but none of them can run with KK. And I wonder if Nika will get a double double or even a triple double. As for a final score, if we play low energy, I expect something like 64-57. But if we play high energy it could be just like the Marquette game, 95-64 [/QUOTE]
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Analysis and Comments - Game 14 - UConn vs Creighton
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