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[QUOTE="freescooter, post: 4857492, member: 1023"]
I think the analytics are very good among bands.  #1 against #30 they generally will get right.  But  if you took the top say 8 NET or Massey or any other teams and put them in a tournament, I’m not so sure anyone would be shocked if the #6 team won it.  At that level, they are more or less equal and it is largely about other factors such as match ups, individual performances, coaches, even luck. Things that are tough to quantify in a mathematical analysis.

I also suspect that as you get deeper into it, you probably get something approaching a bell curve. In the middle you get a whole bunch of teams that, as the saying goes, could beat each other on any given night. Then you have DePaul.  The NCAA tries to reflect this with the quad system a bit.  But in reality I suspect that there are pretty deep overlays especially between Quad 2 and 3.  If the 70th team in quad 2 played the 10th team in quad 3 I’d bet it would be a pretty competitive game.
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