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Message: [QUOTE="nelsonmuntz, post: 4856283, member: 833"] I don't agree with you on this. A single game's betting may get out of balance, but across the entire book of games for a night or a week or a month, Vegas is definitely trying to balance it out statistically so that one bad game does not take down the sports book. Insurance is very similar in this way. The sports book is not trying to take positions on games against its bettors. That would make the sports book just like the bettors, just with slightly better odds. Also, the sports book would have a huge negative selection problem if it was trying to take positions against bettors. The only games bettors would pile onto one side of would be games that the sports book was taking a contrarian position to the market by moving the spread against itself. How else would you get a meaningful number of people to take the other side of the bet? [/QUOTE]