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Message: [QUOTE="HuskyHawk, post: 2410919, member: 1414"] My primary complaint about virtually every prediction related to sports is that the unknown is always treated as a negative. Sometimes the answer to the “hole” in the roster is that it’s cant be filled. Sometimes a player steps up and vastly overachies. This team has more unknowns than any I’ve seen. Larrier’s recovery and lack of playing time for two years. Gilbert’s shoulder. The entire front-court is a huge question mark. So what the prognosticators do and have done, and ADB too, is assume that Larrier will struggle, Gilbert might get hurt or not adjust to the brace, and that the guys up front won’t provide an upside surprise. If you assume those things, yes, this is a 16-18 win team. With everything going wrong, that’s the result. I don’t think it’s realistic. At least a couple of the freshman will be better than we expect. Cobb could be better than we expect, Anderson too. Larrier might look fantastic after a few games. Gilbert may look like a McD AA pg, with an extra year of maturity. And that’s not even being widely optimistic. It’s what I think will happen. [/QUOTE]