Ironically, we'll probably screw some teams by beating them with little chance of making it ourselves.
It's early, but Cincy is the only school in the top 38 of KenPom. Committee looks at that now (just not as much as RPI top 50 wins apparently.....) and it's more stable than RPI at this time so good to keep in mind. It's safe to say if you're not in the top 50 come tourny time you're in trouble (I think there were 3 at larges past 50 last year). So that brings SMU in.
Houston scheduled like . They might play 1 total tournament team in the nonconf and it'll be at home, and that team isn't close to a given. Well, they did win an easy neutral site tournament, so that might help, but only if the committee doesn't look at the overall strength of schedule.
UCF also scheduled like . Their best win, if they do it, will be @GWU.
Memphis has a shot. They've played only bunnies so far, so no idea how good they actually are. They need to win tonight (winning so far).
Temple will need to play well in conference play to continue to offset those ugly losses to UNH (home) and UMass (road). Last 2 games were huge, obviously. If they beat Villanova in Big5 play they'll have a good shot.
Everybody needs to keep winning to get the RPIs up before conference play and especially protect home court for RPI sake to have any shot. It's stupid early so it doesn't really matter, but only 3 AAC teams in the RPI top 100. Work to be done. By conference play, the RPIs need to be helpful to everyone. UConn RPI #293 currently, for the record (I mention this mostly for my own benefit, want to track this).
