No, it's not that if we lose early we'll never have success again. This isn't like the KO years where we had to fight to stay relevant and there actually was a lot at stake for the program on a decadal timescale. Hurley has earned a lot of credibility and we'll keep that for a while.
But the "how" of our future success depends a lot on what happens this month.
If we win 3-4 games, it'll be an Elite 8/Final Four year where we weren't quite at the level of other contenders, but showed our formula still gets it done in March and is worth staying the course.
If we get bounced this weekend, that would make for two underwhelming years in a row that warrants some course correction.