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[QUOTE="bmayuc, post: 5041528, member: 493"]
Where Torvik (and all) projection models fall down is that they are kinda trying to normalize all improvement across all teams... and as we know this is a very lumpy fact of people - they all improve at different rates and much of it make zero sense until actual production and efficiency stats from real games are introduced. For example see Torviks expected stats, which um, make no sense. Jaylin at 1.8ppg? ok! Samson major regression from last year? ok! Solo averagin 6pts? uh, ok!

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FWIW here's my closer projection of production ..

Starters:

PG: Hassan 20mpg, 7pts, 5 assists, 2 rebounds
SG: Solo, 25 mpg, 12 ppg, 3 assist, 3 rebounds
F: Jaylin, 20 mpg, 10 ppg, 5 rebound, 2 assists
F: Karaban 30 mpg, 18 ppg, 6 rebound, 2 assists
C: Tarris Reed 20 mpg, 8pts, 9 rebounds, 2 blocks

First G: Aidan Mahaney 20mpg, 10 pt, 3 assissts
First P: Samson 15 mpg, 7pt, 4 rebound
First W: Liam 20 mpg, 8 pt, 5 rebound
Second G: Nowell - 10mpg sparkplug/defense, 3 pt 3 assist
Everyone else - garbage time
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