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Message: [QUOTE="awy, post: 5041277, member: 13496"] tried to find the model but don't see much of anything. i'd venture to guess that there's a lot of normalized noise in the usage patterns, and also a bifurcated model choice between recruits and returnees in that recruits are valued by expected value of a given recruit ranking, while returnees are evaluated on past college production. this means that for a team that is reliant on returning freshmen who did not get much run last season/didn't produce much, they are being evaluated on that sample and not on their recruit rankings. this can be seen by this model giving uconn the highest "talent" but low production and minutes from those returnees. this is just a case of uconn falling through the cracks of a model designed to approximate the normal college team in terms of progression and development. wouldn't worry too much about it. [/QUOTE]