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Message: [QUOTE="champs99and04, post: 2761634, member: 488"] You don't think the timing impacts the percentage? It's a 24 second shot clock as it is, generally you need to run at least a little cross action to get the ball in the post (officials let guys get away with a lot fronting), and then when you start your move help is usually coming from the weak side, which means at least another couple passes after the ball leaves your hands. So what comes first? Does the ball go to the post to die or is it already dead when it gets there? I honestly don't know. The lowest percentage shot tends to be the one leaving the hands of a desperate player, and that desperation is often induced by the shot clock. It's more effective to have your big roll to the rim if you already have skilled players around him. Ditto on spot up shooting. The evolution of LeBron's post game is sometimes overstated, but it has exposed rifts in opposing defenses that allow them to sustain a potent attack despite mostly one-dimensional players around him. Game one of the finals sticks out to me as an especially relevant case study. Even though all the analytics invite small ball, the influence of dominant players tends to be exacerbated in those alignments. Suddenly guys you can't keep from the rim under the best of circumstances, you really, really can't keep from the rim when they're now not just the most skilled player on the court, but the most physically imposing as well. Long point short, there are going to be guys who defy the metrics. I agree with you that it's very difficult for a guy like Ayton to do that in today's game. But it's close enough that I think you have to take him #1 and bank on either pairing him with a dominant perimeter player or hoping he can grow into a dominant defensive piece. [/QUOTE]

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