2018 NBA Draft: In or Out? | The Boneyard

2018 NBA Draft: In or Out?

Drew

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Will (or should) return to school:

Christian Vital | 6-2, G | Connecticut | 21 years old

Agent: No
Projected draft slot: undrafted
Key stats: 14.9 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 1.7 APG, 38.3/31.8/84.6

Comment: There’s not a lot to talk about with Vital as an NBA prospect at this stage, and I’m a bit unclear on what his overall professional marketplace would look like. He put up good counting numbers this year at Connecticut by averaging 15 points a game, but he did so on a bad team. He’s a better shooter than what his 32 percent mark from 3 says, as he’s more than willing to pull from distance regularly and his percentage from the foul line says a lot. But at the end of the day, he’s a 6-2 scoring guard who doesn’t really distribute for his teammates, takes on heavy usage and isn’t comfortable or efficient in his scoring or decision-making once he gets into the paint. That would be the best place to start for him, and it would be plausible for him to get to the point where he is a valuable pro prospect somewhere by the end of next season. Dan Hurley is the new coach at Connecticut, and his offense is an attack-oriented, guard-heavy style that would play into his hands. He should go back and establish himself there.

2018 NBA Draft: In or out? Evaluating the draft prospects of...
 

Drew

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Other prospects of interest:

Will (or should) stay in the draft:

Landry Shamet | 6-4, G | Wichita State | 21 years old
Shake Milton | 6-6, G/W | SMU | 21 years old
Melvin Frazier | 6-7, W | Tulane | 21 years old
Jacob Evans | 6-6, W | Cincinnati | 21 years old


Terry Larrier | 6-8, F | Connecticut | 22 years old

Agent: Yes
Projected draft slot: undrafted
Key stats: 13.9 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 39.8/37.8/78.9

Comment: Larrier’s career was one filled with stops and starts. Following Shaka Smart’s departure from VCU to Texas, Larrier transferred to Connecticut and had to sit out a year. Then four games into his sophomore season, he tore his ACL, meaning he essentially sat out two straight competitive seasons. He did average nearly 14 and 5 this season, but he did it on poor shooting and didn’t display the explosiveness teams would be looking for from him. He graduates in the spring and turns 23 in August — plus was about to go through yet another coaching change from Kevin Ollie to Dan Hurley — so it makes sense why he’s decided to move on and begin a pro career. He seems like a G League-type who will have to prove his worth there before getting a real payday overseas. For his sake, hopefully he can get his career back on track after a promising start as a prep player and freshman at VCU.

Uncertain (depends on pre-draft process):


Jarrey Foster | 6-6, W/F | SMU | 21 years old

Will (or should) return to school:

Tremont Waters | 5-10, G | LSU | 20 years old
Quinton Rose | 6-8, W | Temple | 20 years old
Ray Ona Embo | 6-5, G/W | Tulane | 19 years old
Markis McDuffie | 6-8, F | Wichita State | 20 years old

 
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Will (or should) return to school:

Christian Vital | 6-2, G | Connecticut | 21 years old

Agent: No
Projected draft slot: undrafted
Key stats: 14.9 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 1.7 APG, 38.3/31.8/84.6

Comment: There’s not a lot to talk about with Vital as an NBA prospect at this stage, and I’m a bit unclear on what his overall professional marketplace would look like. He put up good counting numbers this year at Connecticut by averaging 15 points a game, but he did so on a bad team. He’s a better shooter than what his 32 percent mark from 3 says, as he’s more than willing to pull from distance regularly and his percentage from the foul line says a lot. But at the end of the day, he’s a 6-2 scoring guard who doesn’t really distribute for his teammates, takes on heavy usage and isn’t comfortable or efficient in his scoring or decision-making once he gets into the paint. That would be the best place to start for him, and it would be plausible for him to get to the point where he is a valuable pro prospect somewhere by the end of next season. Dan Hurley is the new coach at Connecticut, and his offense is an attack-oriented, guard-heavy style that would play into his hands. He should go back and establish himself there.

2018 NBA Draft: In or out? Evaluating the draft prospects of...

This is remarkably fair. Actually insightfully accurate on a guy almost no draft guy has scouted.
 
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This is remarkably fair. Actually insightfully accurate on a guy almost no draft guy has scouted.

Was just about to say the same. Completely nailed it without being condescending or demeaning. Refreshing to see.
 

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