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  1. shizzle787

    Stetson Scouting Report

    Doomed!
  2. shizzle787

    Where is our commissioner?

    There were some bad performances (Xavier, DePaul, Villanova) but the league went 27-23 against the P5 in the OOC.
  3. shizzle787

    Where is our commissioner?

    Apparently (according to Marchand or Ourand- can’t remember which), the TV contract negotiations are going well. I do think Ackerman needs to make a statement though.
  4. shizzle787

    Is Big East Expansion complacency costs its teams NCAA bids?

    Not really. Only twice has a BE team with 20 wins on Selection Sunday missed the field since 13/14. Three missed it alone this year. This is going to result in an expanded tournament.
  5. shizzle787

    Is Big East Expansion complacency costs its teams NCAA bids?

    Add Gonzaga and go to 22 league games. The NCAA tournament is likely expanding to 76 soon so the league should get 6-7 bids most years.
  6. shizzle787

    BE Bubble Update (3/15/24)

    For the league, yes. For them individually it would be a push.
  7. shizzle787

    BE Bubble Update (3/15/24)

    1- Uconn 2- Marquette 3- Creighton FF- St. John’s Seton Hall is the first team out. The league can thank the bad call in the TCU/Georgetown game, Georgetown’s loss to Holy Cross, Xavier’s two bad losses at home, Nova’s three Philly losses, and DePaul for this.
  8. shizzle787

    BE Bubble Update (3/15/24)

    Huh? They both won 20 games. Only twice since 13/14 has a Big East team won 20+ games and missed the field. Would you rather Seton Hall lost to us but beat Iowa?
  9. shizzle787

    Week of 3/11/24 Games (Conference Tournaments)

    Providence has 21 wins. They should be a lock. Never since the formation of the NBE team missed the field yet Lunardi has them out.
  10. shizzle787

    UConn -9.5 v. St. Johns

    Doomed!
  11. shizzle787

    B1G & SEC non-committal on CFP future

    Expect the NCAA tournament to expand to probably 76 as well.
  12. shizzle787

    Fox - Big East exclusive negotiating window

    They will try but the political pushback will be too much (see the European Super League).
  13. shizzle787

    Week of 3/11/24 Games (Conference Tournaments)

    Awful slate tonight. Wednesday is when it really starts.
  14. shizzle787

    Week of 3/4/24 Other Games

    If Drake wins, Indiana State is 50/50 to get in.
  15. shizzle787

    Big East tourney teams?

    If you want to see the maximum number of Big East bids root for the following: St. John's over Seton Hall Nova wins two games in BET Providence wins two games in BET Indiana State, FAU, Dayton, James Madison, Princeton, and Grand Canyon win their respective tournaments Early exits in ACC...
  16. shizzle787

    UCONN/Seton Hall, St. John’s

    Especially considering Butler needs it for a tournament berth.
  17. shizzle787

    Big East tourney teams?

    Seton Hall should be in with 20 wins. St. John's needs to beat Seton Hall to lock up a bid. Nova needs at least one win in the BET but two would lock it up. Providence needs at least one win in the BET but two would lock it up. Butler needs to get to the BET final (could possibly sneak in if...
  18. shizzle787

    BE Bubble Update (3/8/24)

    Seton Hall and St. John's are winners today. Providence and Villanova are losers. Scenarios to lock up a bid: Seton Hall: should be in but win over St. John's in BET would remove any doubt St. John's: should be in but win over Seton Hall in BET would remove any doubt Villanova: needs two...
  19. shizzle787

    BE Bubble Update (Update 2/29/24)

    You're missing the point: it's about your schedule and your w/l record. Both working in tandem. SOS is an index that helps to sort relative schedule strength among teams with unequal schedule strengths. Being 27-3 in the Southland is great until you realize the whole league is Quad 4 games. A...
  20. shizzle787

    Big East bubble scenarios (3/7)

    I believe 19 will be good for them due to a really strong SOS and NET in the mid-30s should they go 1-1 in the next two.
  21. shizzle787

    BE Bubble Update (Update 2/29/24)

    SOS is not predictive; it is resume-based. It’s irrelevant that Princeton won two games because SOS isn’t intended to predict. SOS is a great stat because it shows who you’ve played, which should matter. Georgetown played a decent schedule but they stink. That still doesn’t change the fact they...
  22. shizzle787

    Bubble Watch (3/7)

    Virginia plays in the ACC. As a result of the ACC being bad relative to the other major leagues, you need more wins to get in.
  23. shizzle787

    BE Bubble Update (Update 2/29/24)

    You conveniently ignore SOS. Indiana State isn’t going 26-5 in the Big East.
  24. shizzle787

    Big East bubble scenarios (3/7)

    Only twice has a Big East team missed the tournament with 20+ wins on Selection Sunday since the NBE was formed. 2 out of 4 teams with exactly 19 wins have gotten in. The BE is no worse than usual this year. Historical precedent is the answer you are looking for.
  25. shizzle787

    Big East bubble scenarios (3/7)

    Wins and NET/SOS. Number to clinch for Seton Hall is 20 and St. John’s is 19.
  26. shizzle787

    Big East bubble scenarios (3/7)

    I agree. At the end of the day, a simple way to determine who has a better resume (if two teams have an almost identical record) is SOS. Wake Forest SOS: 75 (NON-CON SOS: 218) NET: 42 Providence SOS: 103 (NON-CON SOS: 185) NET: 61 If you look at SOS, it makes sense that Wake has a better NET...
  27. shizzle787

    Big East bubble scenarios (3/7)

    Seton Hall would have 20 wins. Nova can't afford to lose in the first round of the BET. Their NET would take a massive hit. If Seton Hall loses in the QF of the BET to St. John's it would be a Quad 1 loss (NCAA considers St. John's at home in BET). The NET is not the only tool they use, but it...
  28. shizzle787

    Big East bubble scenarios (3/7)

    Seton Hall: win against DePaul clinches bid St. John's: win against Georgetown clinches bid Villanova: win against Creighton and one win in BET clinches bid Providence: two wins in BET clinches bid Butler: three bids in BET clinches bid Wins needed for bid: 19- St. John's (NET: 36)...
  29. shizzle787

    Bubble Watch (3/7)

    ACC Locks: Duke, UNC, Clemson Should be in: None Work left to do: Pitt, Wake Forest Big 12 Locks: Houston, Iowa State, Baylor, Texas Tech, Kansas, BYU, TCU, Oklahoma Should be in: None Work left to do: Texas Big East Locks: UConn, Marquette, Creighton Should be in: Seton Hall (1 win to go)...
  30. shizzle787

    BE Bubble Update (Update 2/29/24)

    St. John's, Seton Hall, and Providence will all clinch a bid if they win Saturday. We will likely go into the BET with 5 bids locked and three more needing at least one win (Nova, Providence, and Butler).
  31. shizzle787

    BE Bubble Update (Update 2/29/24)

    Best case is 8 (but would take a mini miracle). How we get there: Seton Hall beats DePaul (90%) Providence wins two games in BET (30%) St. John’s beats Georgetown (80%) Villanova beats Creighton and wins one game in BET (50%) Butler wins three games in BET (5%)
  32. shizzle787

    Week of 3/4/24 Other Games

    I think the ACC will get 4 in: Duke, UNC, Clemson, and one of Virginia or Pitt.
  33. shizzle787

    Week of 3/4/24 Other Games

    Syracuse, Cincy, Kansas State, and Ole Miss all lost. Providence and St. John's won. Great night for the BE bubble.
  34. shizzle787

    Week of 3/4/24 Other Games

    Wake with a brutal loss.
  35. shizzle787

    Dana O’Neil: tournament expansion unlikely to go past 76

    The BE is probably pushing for this too. They stand to gain a bid frequently.
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