Recent content by Tenspro2002

Ehhh, if Rashad Anderson misses that 3 with 2:40 to go, down 8, we're lamenting that for the second time in 3 years, JC's stubborn adherence to self-imposed rules cost an elite team a shot at a championship.

Am I to understand that Syracuse hasn't been ranked in over 7 years?! Even when we were miserably bad during the Ollie years or struggling to get over the hump under Hurley, we didn't go more than a few years without being ranked.

Yup, you can see the groundwork being laid already for them to take it from us regardless of our performance.

Yes, it depends on how other teams do, but I have a hard time seeing us with 3 losses ahead of hypothetical 3-loss Houston or 3-loss Iowa State (Illinois they'd probably give to us based on head to head).

This is absolutely a warning shot that voters (and by extension the Selection Committee) are not impressed with our resume compared to others at the top. We're probably the 4th #1 seed at the moment, behind Arizona, Michigan, and Duke. The question is, how close do they consider the teams...

No. Kemba dominated Maui and put us on the map.

Not the question

Fortunately, BYU, Illinois, Florida, and Kansas have mostly maintained their expected level. The Arizona loss obviously looks understandable in retrospect. We've had issues in some years with our big OOC scalps falling off a cliff and not looking nearly as impressive come March, but by and...

Honestly, I'm eyeing Creighton +300. I don't expect to win and certainly don't want to win that bet, but I feel like we're not 75% likely to win this game. I'll probably also live-bet Creighton +11.5 or so if we get an early lead. I don't like betting lines around 7.5 because it's very easy...

Calhoun basically had these guys on a system of staying for 3 years and it led to predictable cycles of success with only occasional down years. Our best teams were led by juniors, who both had enough experience and savvy to lead, while also being talented enough that they weren't staying all 4.

This is why @Creighton is a sneaky-important game for us. It's absolutely a losable game, but if we win, you can start counting on one hand the number of risky games remaining, and we can probably afford 2 losses (but not more than that) without jeopardizing a #1 seed.

It's like the opposite of 2023, which had one of the worst KenPom "luck" factors, where we lost a bunch of close games and questioned if Hurley was coaching these guys to play tight, choke down the stretch, etc. And then it didn't matter in the Tournament where we won going away. This year we...

You're right. In that example it's not possible that both bettors actually have an edge. But that doesn't rule out the possibility that one of them does, regardless of your not knowing which one it is (if either).

Welp, that was easy.

The point isn't that you never lose. The point is that you win in the long run. If I can bet on an outcome that occurs 60% of the time, but I get even odds on it, I have an edge, even though I lose 40% of the time.